Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

3 monthsBearish59%
3M Downside probability 59%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 152.66 and stabilize above resistance 668.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 668 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 119.8 (85.92%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8149.93Bearish
EMA 21152.66Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.5 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 119.8 · BB 222.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 67.8 · OBV -508.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
25.94 - 668

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+464.98% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

787.8
Nearest resistance

+379.06% · 4.4 ATR above · 24-bar high

668
Current price

Price shown is delayed

139.44
Nearest support

-81.4% · 0.9 ATR below · 24-bar low

25.94
Deeper support zone

-167.31% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

-93.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

19.64 - 259.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-324.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

119.8 (85.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 222.04%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

443.47 / -140.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

19.64 / 259.24Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

668Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

25.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 17.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-26.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-508.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-324.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 17.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-26.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

119.8 (85.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 222.04%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

443.47 / -140.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

19.64 / 259.24Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-508.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

668Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

25.94Range

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