Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

3 monthsBearish63%
3M Downside probability 63%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $152.83 and stabilize above resistance $668.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $668 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $118.52 (163.56%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$150.1Bearish
EMA 21$152.83Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $118.52 · BB 228.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.3 · OBV -195.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$25.94 - $668

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+985.45% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$786.52
Nearest resistance

+821.89% · 5.0 ATR above · 23-bar high

$668
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$72.46
Nearest support

-64.2% · 0.4 ATR below · 23-bar low

$25.94
Deeper support zone

-227.77% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

-$92.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$46.06 - $190.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.51, invalidation $385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$352.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$118.52 (163.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 228.42%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$445.48 / -$142.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$46.06 / $190.98Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$668Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-195.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.51, invalidation $385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$352.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$118.52 (163.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 228.42%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$445.48 / -$142.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$46.06 / $190.98Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-195.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$668Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.94Range

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