Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

3 monthsBearish59%
3M Downside probability 59%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 148.97 and stabilize above resistance 668.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 668 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 116.74 (118.17%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8140.89Bearish
EMA 21148.97Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 116.74 · BB 226.86%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 67.1 · OBV -713.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
25.94 - 668

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+694.35% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

784.74
Nearest resistance

+576.18% · 4.9 ATR above · 24-bar high

668
Current price

Price shown is delayed

98.79
Nearest support

-73.74% · 0.6 ATR below · 24-bar low

25.94
Deeper support zone

-191.91% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

-90.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-17.95 - 215.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-332.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

116.74 (118.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 226.86%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

431.02 / -136.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-17.95 / 215.53Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

668Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

25.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.6 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-713.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-332.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.6 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

116.74 (118.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 226.86%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

431.02 / -136.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-17.95 / 215.53Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-713.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

668Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

25.94Range

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