Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 155.9 and stabilize above resistance 187.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 187.59 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.2, MACD -2.698

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 9.72 (6.57%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8152.11Bearish
EMA 21155.9Bearish
EMA 50148.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.2 · MACD -2.698

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 9.72 · BB 27.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.5 · OBV -0.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
133.25 - 187.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.51% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

197.31
Nearest resistance

+26.93% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

187.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

147.79
Nearest support

-9.84% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

133.25
Deeper support zone

-16.41% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

123.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

138.07 - 157.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 146.03, invalidation 160.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 12.8 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

119.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

160.47 / 150.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

9.72 (6.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.48%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

174.65 / 137.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

138.07 / 157.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

187.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

133.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.698Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.0 / 16.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 146.03, invalidation 160.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 12.8 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

119.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

160.47 / 150.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.698Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.0 / 16.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

9.72 (6.57%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.48%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

174.65 / 137.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

138.07 / 157.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

187.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

133.25Range

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