Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 94.2 and stabilize above resistance 102.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 102.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.3, MACD -0.669

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 3.57 (3.89%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 892.87Bearish
EMA 2194.2Bearish
EMA 5093.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.3 · MACD -0.669

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 3.57 · BB 14.69%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.6 · OBV -30.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
87.64 - 102.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.43% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

106.12
Nearest resistance

+11.54% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

102.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

91.93
Nearest support

-4.67% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

87.64
Deeper support zone

-8.56% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

84.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

88.36 - 95.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 88.88, invalidation 101.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 17.7 / 22.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

83.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

95.47 / 95.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.57 (3.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.69%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

99.91 / 88.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

88.36 / 95.51Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

102.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

87.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.669Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.0 / 25.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 88.88, invalidation 101.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 17.7 / 22.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

83.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

95.47 / 95.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.669Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.0 / 25.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

3.57 (3.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.69%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

99.91 / 88.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

88.36 / 95.51Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

102.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

87.64Range

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