Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish79%
12h Downside probability 79%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 126.93 and stabilize above resistance 140.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 140.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.2, MACD -0.900

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 4.38 (3.46%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8126.02Bullish
EMA 21126.93Bearish
EMA 50122.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.2 · MACD -0.900

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 4.38 · BB 13.98%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.2 · OBV -17.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
119.72 - 140.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.24% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

144.57
Nearest resistance

+10.78% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

140.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

126.55
Nearest support

-5.4% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

119.72
Deeper support zone

-8.86% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

115.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

122.17 - 130.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 120.29, invalidation 130.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.8 / 11.5 / 24.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

114.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

127.99 / 115.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

4.38 (3.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.98%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

135.36 / 118.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

122.17 / 130.93Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

140.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

119.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.900Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.3 / 33.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 120.29, invalidation 130.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.8 / 11.5 / 24.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

114.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

127.99 / 115.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.900Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.3 / 33.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

4.38 (3.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.98%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

135.36 / 118.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

122.17 / 130.93Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

140.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

119.72Range

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