Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 153.77 and stabilize above resistance 179.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 179.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD -0.213

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is 5.79 (3.91%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8149.88Bearish
EMA 21153.77Bearish
EMA 50155.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD -0.213

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 5.79 · BB 11.86%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.6 · OBV -30.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
144.3 - 179.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.34% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

185.52
Nearest resistance

+21.43% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

179.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

148.01
Nearest support

-2.51% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

144.3
Deeper support zone

-6.42% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

138.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

142.22 - 153.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 144.3, invalidation 160.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.6 / 11.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

129.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

155.55 / 165.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

5.79 (3.91%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.86%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

165.33 / 141.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

142.22 / 153.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

179.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

144.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.213Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 17.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 144.3, invalidation 160.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.6 / 11.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

129.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

155.55 / 165.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.213Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 17.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

5.79 (3.91%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.86%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

165.33 / 141.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

142.22 / 153.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

179.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

144.3Range

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