Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 148.26 and stabilize above resistance 399.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 399.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.8, MACD -12.000

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 71.43 (51.23%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8119.99Bullish
EMA 21148.26Bearish
EMA 50163.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.8 · MACD -12.000

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 71.43 · BB 174.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.6 · OBV -26.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
57.83 - 399.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+237.98% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

471.28
Nearest resistance

+186.75% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

399.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

139.44
Nearest support

-58.53% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

57.83
Deeper support zone

-109.75% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

-13.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

68.01 - 210.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 10.6 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-26.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

180.67 / 222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

71.43 (51.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 174.77%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

241.77 / 52.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

68.01 / 210.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.9 / 14.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.3 / 10.6 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-26.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

180.67 / 222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.9 / 14.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

71.43 (51.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 174.77%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

241.77 / 52.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

68.01 / 210.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

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