Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish85%
Monthly Downside probability 85%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $153.52 and stabilize above resistance $399.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $399.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD -20.117

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $81.14 (111.98%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.51Bearish
EMA 21$153.52Bearish
EMA 50$167.13Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD -20.117

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $81.14 · BB 167.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.4 · OBV -33.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$51.39 - $399.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+563.8% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$480.99
Nearest resistance

+451.82% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$399.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$72.46
Nearest support

-29.08% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$51.39
Deeper support zone

-141.06% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

-$29.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$8.68 - $153.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.51, invalidation $385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 18.2 / 22.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$134.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.43 / $222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.14 (111.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 167.02%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.07 / $16.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$8.68 / $153.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$51.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 3.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.51, invalidation $385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 18.2 / 22.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$134.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.43 / $222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 3.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.14 (111.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 167.02%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.07 / $16.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$8.68 / $153.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.50%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$51.39Range

Related Forecasts