Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 143.94 and stabilize above resistance 399.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 399.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.0, MACD -15.032

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 67.52 (73.45%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8109.43Bearish
EMA 21143.94Bearish
EMA 50161.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD -15.032

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 67.52 · BB 181.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.2 · OBV -31.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
57.83 - 399.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+408.4% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

467.37
Nearest resistance

+334.95% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

399.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

91.93
Nearest support

-37.09% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

57.83
Deeper support zone

-110.54% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

-9.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

24.41 - 159.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.6 / 6.8 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-33.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

180.67 / 222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

67.52 (73.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 181.35%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

226.31 / 59.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

24.41 / 159.45Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-15.032Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.4 / 9.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.6 / 6.8 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-33.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

180.67 / 222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-15.032Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.4 / 9.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

67.52 (73.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 181.35%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

226.31 / 59.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

24.41 / 159.45Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

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