Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 149.6 and stabilize above resistance 399.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 399.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.0, MACD -16.862

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 75.15 (76.07%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8115.55Bearish
EMA 21149.6Bearish
EMA 50164.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD -16.862

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 75.15 · BB 174.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.9 · OBV -26.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
57.83 - 399.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+380.82% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

475
Nearest resistance

+304.75% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

399.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

98.79
Nearest support

-41.46% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

57.83
Deeper support zone

-117.53% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

-17.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

23.64 - 173.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79.51, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 10.1 / 24.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-98.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

188.14 / 222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

75.15 (76.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 174.89%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

275.56 / 21.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

23.64 / 173.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 7.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 79.51, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 10.1 / 24.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-98.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

188.14 / 222.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 7.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

75.15 (76.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 174.89%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

275.56 / 21.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

23.64 / 173.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

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