Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 148.01 and stabilize above resistance 399.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 399.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.0, MACD -4.064

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 63.2 (42.7%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8130.98Bullish
EMA 21148.01Bearish
EMA 50162.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD -4.064

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 63.2 · BB 168.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.5 · OBV -3.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
57.83 - 399.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+212.85% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

463.05
Nearest resistance

+170.15% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

399.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

148.01
Nearest support

-60.93% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

57.83
Deeper support zone

-103.63% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

-5.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

84.81 - 211.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 10.0 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

38.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

175.78 / 223.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

63.2 (42.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 168.53%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

232.29 / 62.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

84.81 / 211.21Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.064Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 28.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 10.0 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

38.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

175.78 / 223.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.064Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 28.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

63.2 (42.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 168.53%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

232.29 / 62.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

84.81 / 211.21Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

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