Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 143.52 and stabilize above resistance 399.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 399.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -4.481

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 61.61 (55.91%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8123.93Bearish
EMA 21143.52Bearish
EMA 50159.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -4.481

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR 61.61 · BB 175.06%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 21.4 · OBV -20.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
57.83 - 399.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+318.79% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

461.46
Nearest resistance

+262.87% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

399.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

110.19
Nearest support

-47.52% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

57.83
Deeper support zone

-103.43% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

-3.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

48.58 - 171.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.0 / 10.2 / 30.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-1.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

175.78 / 223.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

61.61 (55.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 175.06%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

226.88 / 58.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

48.58 / 171.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.481Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.4 / 26.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.0 / 10.2 / 30.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-1.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

175.78 / 223.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.481Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.4 / 26.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

61.61 (55.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 175.06%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

226.88 / 58.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

48.58 / 171.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

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