Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 monthBearish60%
Monthly Downside probability 60%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 150.95 and stabilize above resistance 399.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 399.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.2, MACD -2.000

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 62.18 (34.48%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8138.17Bullish
EMA 21150.95Bullish
EMA 50163.68Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.2 · MACD -2.000

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR 62.18 · BB 166.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.2 · OBV 3.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
57.83 - 399.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+156.2% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

462.03
Nearest resistance

+121.72% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

399.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

180.34
Nearest support

-67.93% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

57.83
Deeper support zone

-102.41% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

-4.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

118.16 - 242.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 10.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

49.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

175.75 / 223.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

62.18 (34.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 166.65%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

232.51 / 68.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

118.16 / 242.52Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.7 / 32.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 385.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 10.1 / 29.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

49.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

175.75 / 223.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.7 / 32.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

62.18 (34.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 166.65%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

232.51 / 68.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

118.16 / 242.52Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

399.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Related Forecasts