Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish66%
Weekly Downside probability 66%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover 98.77 and stabilize above resistance 196.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above 196.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.7, MACD 5.748

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is 13.71 (14.92%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 891.18Bullish
EMA 2198.77Bearish
EMA 50133.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.7 · MACD 5.748

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR 13.71 · BB 43.94%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.6 · OBV 3.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
57.83 - 196.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+128.92% · 8.6 ATR above latest close

210.44
Nearest resistance

+114% · 7.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

196.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

91.93
Nearest support

-37.09% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

57.83
Deeper support zone

-52.01% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

44.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

78.22 - 105.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 102.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 22.0 / 17.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

48.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

88.01 / 221.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

13.71 (14.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.94%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

126.64 / 68.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

78.22 / 105.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

196.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.748Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.6 / 81.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

24.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation 57.83, invalidation 102.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 22.0 / 17.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

48.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

88.01 / 221.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.748Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.6 / 81.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

24.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

13.71 (14.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.94%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

126.64 / 68.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

78.22 / 105.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

196.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

57.83Range

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