Cryptocurrency

Aave / TetherUS

AAVEUSDT · Binance · USDT

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

AAVEUSDT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $101.01 and stabilize above resistance $233.01.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.01 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 32.9, MACD 2.048

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.98 (19.29%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$78.4Bearish
EMA 21$101.01Bearish
EMA 50$143.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.9 · MACD 2.048

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $13.98 · BB 70.75%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.1 · OBV -5.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$57.83 - $233.01

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+240.86% · 12.5 ATR above latest close

$246.99
Nearest resistance

+221.57% · 11.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$233.01
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$72.46
Nearest support

-20.19% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$57.83
Deeper support zone

-39.48% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$43.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58.48 - $86.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $57.83, invalidation $103.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.3 / 18.5 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.88 / $221.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.98 (19.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.75%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122.72 / $75.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.48 / $86.44Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$57.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.048Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $57.83, invalidation $103.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.3 / 18.5 / 28.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.88 / $221.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.048Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.98 (19.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 70.75%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122.72 / $75.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.48 / $86.44Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$57.83Range

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