US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish90%
4h Downside probability 90%Bearish

ZTO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.38 and stabilize above resistance $21.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.0, MACD -0.083

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1761 (0.88%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$20.26Bearish
EMA 21$20.38Bearish
EMA 50$20.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD -0.083

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1761 · BB 5.67%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV -28.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$19.8 - $21.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.35% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$21.56
Nearest resistance

+6.47% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.08
Nearest support

-1.39% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-2.27% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$19.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.9 - $20.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $20.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.8 / 9.9 / 53.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.41 / $20.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1761 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.67%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.76 / $20Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.9 / $20.26Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 18.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.8, invalidation $20.61

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.8 / 9.9 / 53.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.41 / $20.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.9 / 18.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1761 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.67%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.76 / $20Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.9 / $20.26Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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