US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish63%
4h Downside probability 63%Bearish

ZTO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.56 and stabilize above resistance $19.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $19.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD 0.027

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1154 (0.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.49Bullish
EMA 21$19.56Bearish
EMA 50$19.87Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD 0.027

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1154 · BB 1.97%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.6 · OBV 22.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$18.95 - $19.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.1% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$20.11
Nearest resistance

+2.51% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$19.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.5
Nearest support

-2.8% · 4.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$18.95
Deeper support zone

-3.4% · 5.7 ATR below latest close

$18.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.38 - $19.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.75, invalidation $19.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 19.5 / 44.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.53 / $20Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1154 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.97%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.73 / $19.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.38 / $19.62Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.027Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.4 / 43.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.75, invalidation $19.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 19.5 / 44.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$19.53 / $20Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.027Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.4 / 43.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1154 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.97%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$19.73 / $19.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.38 / $19.62Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$19.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.95Range

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