US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ZTO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $22.25 and stabilize above resistance $23.01.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $23.01 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.2, MACD -0.033

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.2768 (1.27%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.04Bearish
EMA 21$22.25Bearish
EMA 50$22.68Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.2 · MACD -0.033

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.2768 · BB 6.17%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 32.4 · OBV -266.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$21.69 - $23.01

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.6% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$23.29
Nearest resistance

+5.33% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$23.01
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.85
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$21.69
Deeper support zone

-1.98% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$21.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.57 - $22.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.69, invalidation $22.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 10.2 / 45.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.19 / $22.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2768 (1.27%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.17%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.76 / $21.71Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.57 / $22.12Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$21.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.033Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.0 / 19.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-266.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.69, invalidation $22.36

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 10.2 / 45.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.19 / $22.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.033Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.0 / 19.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.2768 (1.27%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.17%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.76 / $21.71Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.57 / $22.12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-266.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.49xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$21.69Range

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