US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish78%
4h Downside probability 78%Bearish

ZTO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.82 and stabilize above resistance $21.56.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.56 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.4, MACD -0.000

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.1125 (0.55%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.71Bearish
EMA 21$20.82Bearish
EMA 50$21.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.4 · MACD -0.000

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.1125 · BB 2.50%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.5 · OBV -8.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$20.36 - $21.56

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.16% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$21.67
Nearest resistance

+4.61% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.56
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.61
Nearest support

-1.21% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$20.36
Deeper support zone

-1.76% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$20.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.5 - $20.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.88, invalidation $20.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 26.0 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.83 / $21.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1125 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.50%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.05 / $20.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.5 / $20.72Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 6.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.88, invalidation $20.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 26.0 / 42.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.83 / $21.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.000Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 6.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.1125 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.50%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.05 / $20.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.5 / $20.72Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.56Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.36Range

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