US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ZTO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $22 and stabilize above resistance $23.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $23.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.1, MACD -0.027

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3996 (1.87%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$21.53Bearish
EMA 21$22Bearish
EMA 50$22.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.1 · MACD -0.027

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3996 · BB 13.51%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -9.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$20.94 - $23.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.96% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$24.14
Nearest resistance

+11.09% · 5.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$23.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.37
Nearest support

-2.01% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$20.94
Deeper support zone

-3.88% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$20.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.97 - $21.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.94, invalidation $21.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.0 / 10.2 / 48.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.79 / $22.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3996 (1.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.51%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.48 / $21.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.97 / $21.77Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.027Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 19.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.94, invalidation $21.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.0 / 10.2 / 48.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.79 / $22.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.027Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 19.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3996 (1.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.51%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.48 / $21.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.97 / $21.77Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$23.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.94Range

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