US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish59%
12h Downside probability 59%Bearish

ZTO 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.31 and stabilize above resistance $21.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.8, MACD -0.007

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.4598 (2.29%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$20.41Bearish
EMA 21$20.31Bearish
EMA 50$20.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD -0.007

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4598 · BB 6.60%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.7 · OBV -5.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.62 - $21.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.76% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$21.84
Nearest resistance

+6.47% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.08
Nearest support

-2.29% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.62
Deeper support zone

-4.58% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$19.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.62 - $20.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.38, invalidation $20.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.3 / 19.7 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.55 / $20.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4598 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.60%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.39 / $19.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.62 / $20.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.007Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 38.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.38, invalidation $20.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.3 / 19.7 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.55 / $20.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.007Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 38.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.4598 (2.29%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.60%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$21.39 / $19.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.62 / $20.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.62Range

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