US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish81%
12h Downside probability 81%Bearish

ZTO 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $22.56 and stabilize above resistance $25.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.3, MACD 0.027

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4014 (1.84%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$22.18Bearish
EMA 21$22.56Bearish
EMA 50$23.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.3 · MACD 0.027

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4014 · BB 5.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.7 · OBV -121.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$21.69 - $25.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.4% · 11.1 ATR above latest close

$26.3
Nearest resistance

+18.56% · 10.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.85
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$21.69
Deeper support zone

-2.55% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$21.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.44 - $22.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.01, invalidation $21.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 18.3 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.51 / $23.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4014 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.25%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.4 / $21.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.44 / $22.25Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$21.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.027Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 24.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-139.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-121.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.01, invalidation $21.69

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 18.3 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.51 / $23.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.027Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 24.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-139.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4014 (1.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.25%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.4 / $21.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.44 / $22.25Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-121.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$21.69Range

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