US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

UPS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $109.67 and stabilize above resistance $118.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $118.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.7, MACD -1.223

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.08 (2.89%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$107.71Bearish
EMA 21$109.67Bearish
EMA 50$108.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD -1.223

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.08 · BB 15.74%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV 1.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$102.83 - $118.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.08% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$121.5
Nearest resistance

+11.19% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.5
Nearest support

-3.45% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$102.83
Deeper support zone

-6.33% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$99.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$103.42 - $109.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $102.83

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 13.9 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.22 / $107.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.08 (2.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.74%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.65 / $103.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.42 / $109.58Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.223Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.5 / 19.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $102.83

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.4 / 13.9 / 40.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.22 / $107.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.223Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.5 / 19.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.08 (2.89%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.74%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$115.65 / $103.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.42 / $109.58Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.83Range

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