US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish67%
Daily Downside probability 67%Bearish

UPS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.82 and stabilize above resistance $109.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $109.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.7, MACD -0.204

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.95 (1.95%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$101.14Bearish
EMA 21$102.82Bearish
EMA 50$104.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.7 · MACD -0.204

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.95 · BB 7.23%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.8 · OBV 3.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$98.81 - $109.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.06% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$111.37
Nearest resistance

+9.11% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$109.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.28
Nearest support

-1.47% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98.81
Deeper support zone

-3.41% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$96.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$98.33 - $102.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98.81, invalidation $104.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 19.7 / 26.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.28 / $108.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.95 (1.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.23%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.24 / $99.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.33 / $102.23Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.204Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 16.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $98.81, invalidation $104.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.7 / 19.7 / 26.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.28 / $108.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.204Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 16.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.95 (1.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.23%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$106.24 / $99.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.33 / $102.23Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.81Range

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