US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

UPS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.02 and stabilize above resistance $118.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $118.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.6, MACD -0.220

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.04 (2%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$102.89Bearish
EMA 21$105.02Bearish
EMA 50$106.55Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.6 · MACD -0.220

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.04 · BB 7.18%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.1 · OBV -11.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$101.34 - $118.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.09% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$120.46
Nearest resistance

+16.09% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.01
Nearest support

-0.66% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.34
Deeper support zone

-2.66% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$99.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.97 - $104.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.34, invalidation $104.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 13.0 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.66 / $109.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.04 (2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.18%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.51 / $101.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.97 / $104.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.220Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 11.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.34, invalidation $104.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 13.0 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.66 / $109.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.220Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 11.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.04 (2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.18%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$108.51 / $101.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.97 / $104.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.34Range

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