US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBullish54%
Daily Upside probability 54%Bullish

UPS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $93.88 and reclaim $111.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $93.88 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.6, MACD -0.400

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.84 (2.69%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$106.53Bearish
EMA 21$106Bearish
EMA 50$104.66Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.6 · MACD -0.400

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.84 · BB 8.21%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 54.4 · OBV 22.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$93.88 - $111.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.77% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$114.05
Nearest resistance

+5.08% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$111.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.82
Nearest support

-11.28% · 4.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.88
Deeper support zone

-13.97% · 5.2 ATR below latest close

$91.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.98 - $108.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.82, invalidation $104.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 18.2 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.69 / $102.54Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.84 (2.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.21%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.35 / $99.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.98 / $108.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.88Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.400Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.5 / 33.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.82, invalidation $104.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 18.2 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.69 / $102.54Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.400Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.5 / 33.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-37.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.84 (2.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.21%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.35 / $99.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.98 / $108.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.88Range

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