US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

UPS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $96.73 and stabilize above resistance $107.11.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $107.11 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.1, MACD -0.163

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.99 (2.14%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$93.99Bearish
EMA 21$96.73Bearish
EMA 50$100.55Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.1 · MACD -0.163

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.99 · BB 13.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.3 · OBV -7.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.63 - $107.11

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.29% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$109.1
Nearest resistance

+15.15% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107.11
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$93.02
Nearest support

-1.49% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.63
Deeper support zone

-3.63% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$89.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$91.03 - $95.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $94.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.6 / 5.1 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.64 / $104.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.99 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.68%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.25 / $92.83Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.03 / $95.01Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.163Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 15.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $94.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.6 / 5.1 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.64 / $104.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.163Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 15.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.99 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.68%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.25 / $92.83Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.03 / $95.01Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

Related Forecasts