US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish83%
1h Downside probability 83%Bearish

ZTO 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $20.71 and stabilize above resistance $21.11.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $21.11 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.2, MACD -0.020

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.06791 (0.33%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.63Bearish
EMA 21$20.71Bearish
EMA 50$20.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.2 · MACD -0.020

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.06791 · BB 2.46%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.5 · OBV -4.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$20.56 - $21.11

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.76% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$21.18
Nearest resistance

+2.43% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$21.11
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.61
Nearest support

-0.24% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$20.56
Deeper support zone

-0.57% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$20.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.54 - $20.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.88, invalidation $20.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 14.7 / 51.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.78 / $20.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.06791 (0.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.46%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.84 / $20.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.54 / $20.68Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.56Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.020Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 6.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.88, invalidation $20.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 14.7 / 51.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$20.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.78 / $20.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.020Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 6.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.06791 (0.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.46%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.84 / $20.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.54 / $20.68Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$21.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.56Range

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