US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish81%
1h Downside probability 81%Bearish

ZTO 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $19.98 and stabilize above resistance $20.29.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $20.29 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.0, MACD -0.001

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.08929 (0.45%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$19.96Bearish
EMA 21$19.98Bearish
EMA 50$20.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.0 · MACD -0.001

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.08929 · BB 1.32%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 53.0 · OBV 1.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.8 - $20.29

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.38% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$20.38
Nearest resistance

+1.93% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$20.29
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.91
Nearest support

-0.53% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.8
Deeper support zone

-0.98% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$19.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.82 - $19.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.23, invalidation $19.88

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.4 / 41.2 / 32.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.04 / $20.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.08929 (0.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.32%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.13 / $19.83Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.82 / $19.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 31.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.23, invalidation $19.88

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.4 / 41.2 / 32.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$20.04 / $20.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.001Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 31.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.08929 (0.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.32%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$20.13 / $19.83Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.82 / $19.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$20.29Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.8Range

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