US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish85%
1h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ZTO 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $22 and stabilize above resistance $22.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $22.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.9, MACD 0.002

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.08357 (0.38%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$21.91Bearish
EMA 21$22Bearish
EMA 50$22.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.9 · MACD 0.002

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.08357 · BB 2.67%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.8 · OBV 4.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$21.69 - $22.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.38% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$22.58
Nearest resistance

+3% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$22.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.85
Nearest support

-0.71% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$21.69
Deeper support zone

-1.09% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$21.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.76 - $21.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.02, invalidation $21.73

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.2 / 15.0 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.95 / $22.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.08357 (0.38%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.67%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.18 / $21.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.76 / $21.93Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$22.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$21.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.002Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.1 / 37.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.71xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $22.02, invalidation $21.73

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.2 / 15.0 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.95 / $22.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.002Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.1 / 37.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.08357 (0.38%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.67%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.18 / $21.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.76 / $21.93Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.71xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$22.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$21.69Range

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