US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish88%
Weekly Downside probability 88%Bearish

ZTO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.19 and stabilize above resistance $25.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $25.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.1, MACD -0.094

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.01 (5.04%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.37Bearish
EMA 21$21.19Bearish
EMA 50$21.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.1 · MACD -0.094

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.01 · BB 30.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.2 · OBV 6.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.34 - $25.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.37% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$26.98
Nearest resistance

+29.33% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$25.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.08
Nearest support

-3.71% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.34
Deeper support zone

-8.75% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$18.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.07 - $21.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.77, invalidation $19.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.9 / 15.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.21 / $22.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.01 (5.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.14%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.86 / $19.43Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.07 / $21.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $20.77, invalidation $19.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.9 / 15.2 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.21 / $22.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 19.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.01 (5.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.14%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$22.86 / $19.43Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.07 / $21.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$25.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.34Range

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