US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish91%
Weekly Downside probability 91%Bearish

ZTO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $22.62 and stabilize above resistance $26.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $26.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.8, MACD -0.384

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.11 (5.4%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$21.89Bearish
EMA 21$22.62Bearish
EMA 50$22.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.8 · MACD -0.384

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.11 · BB 21.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -17.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$20.36 - $26.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.53% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$27.31
Nearest resistance

+27.12% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$26.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.61
Nearest support

-1.21% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$20.36
Deeper support zone

-6.62% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$19.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.5 - $21.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.47, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 19.0 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.93 / $22.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.11 (5.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.87%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.79 / $20.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.5 / $21.72Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.384Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.7 / 11.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.47, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 19.0 / 25.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.93 / $22.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.384Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.7 / 11.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-140.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.11 (5.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.87%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.79 / $20.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.5 / $21.72Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.36Range

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