US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ZTO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.48 and stabilize above resistance $26.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $26.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.4, MACD -0.282

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $0.9982 (5.01%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.41Bearish
EMA 21$21.48Bearish
EMA 50$21.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.4 · MACD -0.282

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9982 · BB 28.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 21.5 · OBV 1.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.34 - $26.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.64% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$27.2
Nearest resistance

+31.63% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$26.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.91
Nearest support

-2.86% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.34
Deeper support zone

-7.88% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$18.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.91 - $20.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.34, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 11.4 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.54 / $22.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.9982 (5.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.44%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.4 / $19.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.91 / $20.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.282Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 13.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.34, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 11.4 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$17.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$21.54 / $22.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.282Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 13.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$0.9982 (5.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.44%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$23.4 / $19.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.91 / $20.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.21%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.34Range

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