US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

ZTO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.08 and stabilize above resistance $26.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $26.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -0.472

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.13 (5.12%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$22.78Bearish
EMA 21$23.08Bearish
EMA 50$22.15Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -0.472

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.13 · BB 20.11%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.1 · OBV -15.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$18.32 - $26.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.15% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$27.28
Nearest resistance

+19.03% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$26.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.97
Nearest support

-16.61% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$18.32
Deeper support zone

-21.74% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$17.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.84 - $23.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.01, invalidation $23.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.8 / 5.1 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.65 / $21.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.13 (5.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.11%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.22 / $20.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.84 / $23.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.472Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 10.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $23.01, invalidation $23.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.8 / 5.1 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.65 / $21.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.472Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.6 / 10.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.13 (5.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.11%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.22 / $20.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.84 / $23.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$18.32Range

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