US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ZTO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.15 and stabilize above resistance $26.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $26.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.2, MACD -0.225

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.18 (5.54%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$22.96Bearish
EMA 21$23.15Bearish
EMA 50$22.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.2 · MACD -0.225

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.18 · BB 20.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.3 · OBV -10.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$20.86 - $26.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.14% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$27.38
Nearest resistance

+22.6% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$26.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.37
Nearest support

-2.41% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$20.86
Deeper support zone

-7.95% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$19.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.19 - $22.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.47, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 17.9 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.22 / $21.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.18 (5.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.49%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.59 / $20.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.19 / $22.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 32.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.47, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 17.9 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$18.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$23.22 / $21.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.225Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 32.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.18 (5.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.49%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$25.59 / $20.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.19 / $22.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$20.86Range

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