US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish81%
Weekly Downside probability 81%Bearish

ZTO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.95 and stabilize above resistance $26.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $26.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.1, MACD -0.445

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.08 (5.56%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$20.82Bearish
EMA 21$21.95Bearish
EMA 50$22.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.1 · MACD -0.445

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.08 · BB 24.82%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.7 · OBV 0.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.34 - $26.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.92% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$27.28
Nearest resistance

+34.36% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$26.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.5
Nearest support

-0.85% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.34
Deeper support zone

-6.41% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$18.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$18.42 - $20.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.47, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 19.5 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.35 / $22.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.08 (5.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.82%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.11 / $19.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.42 / $20.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.445Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.0 / 7.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-162.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $21.47, invalidation $24.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 19.5 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$16.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.35 / $22.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.445Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.0 / 7.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-162.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.08 (5.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.82%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$24.11 / $19.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$18.42 / $20.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$26.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.34Range

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