US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish61%
Monthly Downside probability 61%Bearish

ZTO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.46 and stabilize above resistance $27.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $27.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.9, MACD -0.055

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.52 (12.67%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$21.44Bearish
EMA 21$21.46Bearish
EMA 50$22.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD -0.055

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.52 · BB 45.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.9 · OBV 37.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$15.9 - $27.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+50.83% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$30.02
Nearest resistance

+38.16% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$27.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.91
Nearest support

-20.15% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$15.9
Deeper support zone

-32.81% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$13.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.38 - $22.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $16.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 23.8 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.34 / $22.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.52 (12.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.98%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.96 / $15.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.38 / $22.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.055Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.6 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

37.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $16.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 23.8 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.34 / $22.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.055Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.6 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.52 (12.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.98%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.96 / $15.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.38 / $22.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

37.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

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