US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish54%
Monthly Upside probability 54%Bullish

ZTO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $15.9 and reclaim $27.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $15.9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -0.126

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.48 (12.34%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$21.18Bearish
EMA 21$21.36Bearish
EMA 50$22.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -0.126

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.48 · BB 45.75%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 64.5 · OBV 72.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$15.9 - $27.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.29% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$29.98
Nearest resistance

+36.95% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$27.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$20.08
Nearest support

-20.84% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$15.9
Deeper support zone

-33.18% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$13.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.6 - $22.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $19.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 26.0 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.34 / $22.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.48 (12.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.75%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.8 / $15.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.6 / $22.56Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.126Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 24.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

72.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $19.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 26.0 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.34 / $22.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.126Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 24.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.48 (12.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 45.75%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.8 / $15.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.6 / $22.56Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

72.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

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