US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

ZTO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $21.42 and stabilize above resistance $27.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $27.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.8, MACD -0.080

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.44 (12.49%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$21.35Bearish
EMA 21$21.42Bearish
EMA 50$22.44Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.8 · MACD -0.080

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.44 · BB 46.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.1 · OBV 29.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$15.9 - $27.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+53.52% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$29.94
Nearest resistance

+41.03% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$27.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.5
Nearest support

-18.49% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$15.9
Deeper support zone

-30.98% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$13.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$17.06 - $21.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $16.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 24.7 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.34 / $22.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.44 (12.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.21%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.68 / $16.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.06 / $21.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 29.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $16.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 24.7 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$11.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$22.34 / $22.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 29.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.44 (12.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.21%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$26.68 / $16.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$17.06 / $21.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$27.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

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