US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish81%
3M Downside probability 81%Bearish

ZTO 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $24.35 and stabilize above resistance $38.96.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.96 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.36 (24.38%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$21.81Bullish
EMA 21$24.35Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.36 · BB 59.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.8 · OBV -301.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$15.92 - $38.96

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+101.71% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$44.32
Nearest resistance

+77.33% · 3.2 ATR above · 24-bar high

$38.96
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.97
Nearest support

-27.54% · 1.1 ATR below · 24-bar low

$15.92
Deeper support zone

-51.92% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$10.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.61 - $27.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.36, invalidation $26.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.36 (24.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.41%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$34.77 / $13.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.61 / $27.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 48.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-301.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.36, invalidation $26.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 48.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-9.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.36 (24.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.41%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$34.77 / $13.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.61 / $27.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-301.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.92Range

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