US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish81%
3M Downside probability 81%Bearish

ZTO 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.55 and stabilize above resistance $38.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.25 (24.55%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$21.77Bearish
EMA 21$23.55Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.6 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.25 · BB 54.01%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.8 · OBV -322.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$15.9 - $38.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+107% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$44.24
Nearest resistance

+82.45% · 3.4 ATR above · 29-bar high

$38.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$21.37
Nearest support

-25.62% · 1.0 ATR below · 29-bar low

$15.9
Deeper support zone

-50.17% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$10.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.12 - $26.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.34, invalidation $26.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 14.6 / 17.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.25 (24.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.01%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$33.62 / $13.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.12 / $26.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.7 / 50.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-322.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $16.34, invalidation $26.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 14.6 / 17.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.7 / 50.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.25 (24.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.01%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$33.62 / $13.23Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.12 / $26.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-322.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

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