US stock / ETF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish74%
3M Downside probability 74%Bearish

ZTO 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $23.02 and stabilize above resistance $38.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $38.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.99 (25.61%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$20.93Bearish
EMA 21$23.02Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.0 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.99 · BB 54.30%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.4 · OBV -14310.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$15.9 - $38.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+125.56% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$43.98
Nearest resistance

+99.95% · 3.9 ATR above · 30-bar high

$38.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$19.5
Nearest support

-18.49% · 0.7 ATR below · 30-bar low

$15.9
Deeper support zone

-44.1% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$10.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.51 - $24.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $16.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.0 / 14.9 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.99 (25.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.30%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.26 / $13.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.51 / $24.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 33.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14310.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.2, invalidation $16.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.0 / 14.9 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$24.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 33.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.99 (25.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.30%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.26 / $13.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.51 / $24.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14310.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$38.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$15.9Range

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