US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

VLO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $373.24 and reclaim $428.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $373.24 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.5, MACD 0.577

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.66 (1.34%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$420.65Bullish
EMA 21$412.52Bullish
EMA 50$402.08Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.5 · MACD 0.577

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.66 · BB 9.58%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 77.7 · OBV 9.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$373.24 - $428.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.63% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$434.65
Nearest resistance

+1.3% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$428.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$423.5
Nearest support

-11.87% · 8.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$373.24
Deeper support zone

-13.21% · 9.9 ATR below latest close

$367.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$417.84 - $429.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $428.99, invalidation $414

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.7 / 37.7 / 6.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$410.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$413.11 / $397.53Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.66 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.58%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$422.01 / $404.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$417.84 / $429.16Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$428.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.577Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.9 / 84.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

90.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $428.99, invalidation $414

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.7 / 37.7 / 6.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$410.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$413.11 / $397.53Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.577Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.9 / 84.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

90.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.66 (1.34%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.58%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$422.01 / $404.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$417.84 / $429.16Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.16%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$428.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.24Range

Related Forecasts