US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

VLO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $261.66 and reclaim $310.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $261.66 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 71.5, MACD 0.368

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.4 (1.75%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$303.42Bullish
EMA 21$296.77Bullish
EMA 50$284.95Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 71.5 · MACD 0.368

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.4 · BB 7.90%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 64.1 · OBV 23.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$261.66 - $310

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.07% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$315.4
Nearest resistance

+0.32% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$310
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$309
Nearest support

-15.32% · 8.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$261.66
Deeper support zone

-17.07% · 9.8 ATR below latest close

$256.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$303.6 - $314.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.86, invalidation $287.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 36.0 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$292.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$296.34 / $284.71Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

96%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.4 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.90%

97%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$307.81 / $286.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$303.6 / $314.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.368Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

95.6 / 85.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-4.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

156.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.92%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.86, invalidation $287.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 36.0 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$292.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$296.34 / $284.71Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

96%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.368Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

95.6 / 85.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-4.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

156.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.4 (1.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.90%

97%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$307.81 / $286.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$303.6 / $314.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.92%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$261.66Range

Related Forecasts