US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish88%
4h Downside probability 88%Bearish

VLO 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $413.81 and stabilize above resistance $455.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $455.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.7, MACD -3.215

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $9.03 (2.3%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$400.27Bearish
EMA 21$413.81Bearish
EMA 50$422.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.7 · MACD -3.215

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.03 · BB 15.82%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 14.4 · OBV -13.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$386 - $455.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.19% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

$464.58
Nearest resistance

+15.89% · 6.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$455.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$393.08
Nearest support

-1.8% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$386
Deeper support zone

-4.1% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$376.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$384.05 - $402.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $431.85, invalidation $386

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 17.7 / 44.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$362.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$412.95 / $424.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.03 (2.3%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.82%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$432.82 / $393.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$384.05 / $402.12Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$455.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$386Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.215Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $431.85, invalidation $386

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 17.7 / 44.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$362.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$412.95 / $424.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.215Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.4 / 9.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$9.03 (2.3%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.82%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$432.82 / $393.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$384.05 / $402.12Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$455.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$386Range

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