US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

VLO 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $300.49 and stabilize above resistance $310.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $310.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.074

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.27 (0.76%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$298.93Bearish
EMA 21$300.49Bearish
EMA 50$302.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.074

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.27 · BB 3.80%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 70.3 · OBV 5.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$291.46 - $310.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.84% · 6.4 ATR above latest close

$312.95
Nearest resistance

+4.08% · 5.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$310.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$298.5
Nearest support

-2.36% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$291.46
Deeper support zone

-3.12% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$289.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$296.23 - $300.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $291.46, invalidation $301.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 27.1 / 49.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$298.81 / $303.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.27 (0.76%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.80%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$306.49 / $294.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$296.23 / $300.77Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$291.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.074Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.2 / 53.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.57xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $291.46, invalidation $301.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 27.1 / 49.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$298.81 / $303.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.074Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.2 / 53.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.27 (0.76%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.80%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$306.49 / $294.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$296.23 / $300.77Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.57xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$291.46Range

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