US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish77%
Daily Downside probability 77%Bearish

VLO 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $417.77 and stabilize above resistance $461.52.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $461.52 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -8.347

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $18.79 (4.85%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$413.36Bearish
EMA 21$417.77Bearish
EMA 50$394.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -8.347

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.79 · BB 18.94%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.7 · OBV -8.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$364.96 - $461.52

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$480.31
Nearest resistance

+19.15% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$461.52
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$387.34
Nearest support

-5.78% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$364.96
Deeper support zone

-10.63% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$346.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$368.55 - $406.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $461.52, invalidation $416.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.6 / 8.7 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$344.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$416.03 / $398.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.79 (4.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.94%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$458.23 / $378.18Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$368.55 / $406.13Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$461.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$364.96Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.2 / 5.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $461.52, invalidation $416.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.6 / 8.7 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$344.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$416.03 / $398.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.2 / 5.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.79 (4.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.94%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$458.23 / $378.18Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$368.55 / $406.13Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$461.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$364.96Range

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