US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

VLO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $159.92 and reclaim $265.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $159.92 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.6, MACD -1.072

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.91 (8.06%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$248.46Bullish
EMA 21$232.84Bullish
EMA 50$203.37Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.6 · MACD -1.072

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $20.91 · BB 29.82%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.9 · OBV 20.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$159.92 - $265.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.4% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$286.39
Nearest resistance

+2.34% · 0.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$265.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$259.41
Nearest support

-38.35% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$159.92
Deeper support zone

-46.41% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$139.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$238.5 - $280.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $265.49, invalidation $233.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 23.5 / 18.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.84 / $198.14Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.91 (8.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.82%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.85 / $195.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.5 / $280.32Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$265.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.072Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.0 / 72.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

20.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $265.49, invalidation $233.42

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 23.5 / 18.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.84 / $198.14Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.072Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.0 / 72.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.91 (8.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.82%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.85 / $195.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.5 / $280.32Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

20.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$265.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159.92Range

Related Forecasts