US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

VLO 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $194.58 and reclaim $428.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $194.58 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.9, MACD 7.888

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $27.97 (6.6%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$385.79Bullish
EMA 21$334.08Bullish
EMA 50$271.9Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.9 · MACD 7.888

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $27.97 · BB 73.56%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 67.6 · OBV 21.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$194.58 - $428.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.75% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$456.96
Nearest resistance

+1.15% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$428.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$424.1
Nearest support

-54.12% · 8.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$194.58
Deeper support zone

-60.72% · 9.2 ATR below latest close

$166.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$396.13 - $452.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $320.24, invalidation $364.96

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.0 / 42.2 / 8.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$328.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$343.51 / $292.14Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

98%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.97 (6.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 73.56%

93%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$396.54 / $277.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$396.13 / $452.07Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$428.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$194.58Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.888Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.1 / 90.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

129.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

21.24%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $320.24, invalidation $364.96

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.0 / 42.2 / 8.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$328.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$343.51 / $292.14Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

98%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.888Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.1 / 90.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

129.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.97 (6.6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 73.56%

93%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$396.54 / $277.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$396.13 / $452.07Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

21.24%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$428.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$194.58Range

Related Forecasts