US stock / ETF

ConocoPhillips

COP · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

COP 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $111.93 and stabilize above resistance $125.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $125.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.6, MACD -0.773

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.39 (3.2%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$107.96Bearish
EMA 21$111.93Bearish
EMA 50$115.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.6 · MACD -0.773

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.39 · BB 17.47%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.4 · OBV -249.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$104.64 - $125.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.27% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$129.36
Nearest resistance

+19.07% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$125.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.8
Nearest support

-1.09% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.64
Deeper support zone

-4.29% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$101.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.41 - $109.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.99, invalidation $110.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.7 / 10.9 / 39.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.29 / $116.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.39 (3.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.47%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.28 / $106.13Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.41 / $109.18Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.773Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 5.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-249.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.99, invalidation $110.57

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.7 / 10.9 / 39.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.29 / $116.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.773Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 5.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.39 (3.2%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.47%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.28 / $106.13Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.41 / $109.18Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-249.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.64Range

Related Forecasts