US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish74%
Monthly Upside probability 74%Bullish

VLO 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $99 and reclaim $320.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.3, MACD 13.655

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $32.13 (10.77%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$255.24Bullish
EMA 21$205.99Bullish
EMA 50$161.62Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.3 · MACD 13.655

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $32.13 · BB 126.75%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 94.0 · OBV 715.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$99 - $320.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.12% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$352.37
Nearest resistance

+7.35% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$320.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$298.31
Nearest support

-66.81% · 6.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$99
Deeper support zone

-77.58% · 7.2 ATR below latest close

$66.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$266.18 - $330.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99, invalidation $144.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 42.0 / 1.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$195.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$224.85 / $208.59Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.13 (10.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 126.75%

97%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$280.12 / $136.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.18 / $330.44Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

13.655Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.4 / 92.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

161.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

94.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

715.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99, invalidation $144.13

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 42.0 / 1.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$195.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$224.85 / $208.59Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

13.655Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.4 / 92.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

161.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.13 (10.77%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 126.75%

97%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$280.12 / $136.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.18 / $330.44Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

94.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

715.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$320.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$99Range

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