US stock / ETF

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish89%
12h Downside probability 89%Bearish

VLO 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $304.39 and stabilize above resistance $321.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $321 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.6, MACD -1.702

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.06 (3.37%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$303.43Bearish
EMA 21$304.39Bearish
EMA 50$296.32Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.6 · MACD -1.702

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.06 · BB 7.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.4 · OBV -21.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$284 - $321

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.91% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$331.06
Nearest resistance

+7.54% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$321
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$298.5
Nearest support

-4.86% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$284
Deeper support zone

-8.23% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$273.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$288.44 - $308.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $315, invalidation $300.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 8.4 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$272.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$302.86 / $290.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.06 (3.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.20%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$321.16 / $287.83Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$288.44 / $308.56Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$321Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.702Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.2 / 53.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $315, invalidation $300.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 8.4 / 33.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$272.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$302.86 / $290.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.702Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.2 / 53.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.06 (3.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.20%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$321.16 / $287.83Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$288.44 / $308.56Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$321Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284Range

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