US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursRange51%
4h Range probability 98%Range

UPS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $108.29 - $114.97 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.7, MACD -0.045

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.14 (1.03%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$111.34Bearish
EMA 21$110.91Bearish
EMA 50$109.07Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.7 · MACD -0.045

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.14 · BB 4.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 75.8 · OBV -53.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$108.29 - $114.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.17% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$116.11
Nearest resistance

+4.14% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$114.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$110.4
Nearest support

-1.91% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$108.29
Deeper support zone

-2.94% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$107.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$109.26 - $111.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.23, invalidation $108.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.8 / 29.5 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.52 / $109.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.14 (1.03%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.55%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.29 / $108.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.26 / $111.54Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.045Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.0 / 58.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

7.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-53.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.23, invalidation $108.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.8 / 29.5 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.52 / $109.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.045Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.0 / 58.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

7.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.14 (1.03%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.55%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.29 / $108.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.26 / $111.54Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-53.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.29Range

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