US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursRange48%
4h Range probability 96%Range

UPS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $102.83 - $116.81 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 45.7, MACD 0.489

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.19 (1.12%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.92Bullish
EMA 21$106.97Bearish
EMA 50$109.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.7 · MACD 0.489

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.19 · BB 7.87%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.5 · OBV -6.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$102.83 - $116.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.49% · 9.4 ATR above latest close

$118
Nearest resistance

+9.37% · 8.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$116.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.8
Nearest support

-3.72% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$102.83
Deeper support zone

-4.83% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$101.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$105.61 - $107.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.25, invalidation $103.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.1 / 22.2 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.62 / $110.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.19 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.87%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.26 / $104.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.61 / $107.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.489Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

89.8 / 86.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-10.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.25, invalidation $103.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.1 / 22.2 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.62 / $110.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.489Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

89.8 / 86.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-10.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.19 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.87%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$109.26 / $104.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.61 / $107.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$116.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.83Range

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