US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

UPS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $94.27 and reclaim $101.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $94.27 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.4, MACD 0.026

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.01 (1%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$100.42Bullish
EMA 21$99.29Bullish
EMA 50$97.64Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.4 · MACD 0.026

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.01 · BB 5.53%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 63.2 · OBV 19.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$94.27 - $101.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.52% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$102.98
Nearest resistance

+1.51% · 1.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$101.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.45
Nearest support

-6.15% · 6.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$94.27
Deeper support zone

-7.16% · 7.1 ATR below latest close

$93.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.44 - $101.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.97, invalidation $98.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.1 / 39.8 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.7 / $97Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.01 (1%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.53%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.36 / $97.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.44 / $101.46Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.026Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.5 / 71.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.97, invalidation $98.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.1 / 39.8 / 20.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.7 / $97Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

71%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.026Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.5 / 71.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.01 (1%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.53%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.36 / $97.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.44 / $101.46Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$94.27Range

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