US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

UPS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $107 and reclaim $114.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $107 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.2, MACD 0.075

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.51 (1.33%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$112.67Bullish
EMA 21$111.75Bullish
EMA 50$110.33Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.2 · MACD 0.075

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.51 · BB 4.54%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.3 · OBV -1.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$107 - $114.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.7% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$115.53
Nearest resistance

+0.37% · 0.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$114.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.6
Nearest support

-5.81% · 4.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$107
Deeper support zone

-7.14% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

$105.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$112.09 - $115.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.02, invalidation $111.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 32.0 / 12.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.97 / $109.32Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.51 (1.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.54%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.27 / $109.36Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.09 / $115.11Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.075Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

92.4 / 79.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

128.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.02, invalidation $111.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.7 / 32.0 / 12.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.95Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.97 / $109.32Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.075Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

92.4 / 79.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

128.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.51 (1.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.54%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.27 / $109.36Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.09 / $115.11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107Range

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