US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish91%
12h Downside probability 91%Bearish

UPS 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $109.05 and stabilize above resistance $118.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $118.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -0.714

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.42 (2.26%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$106.44Bullish
EMA 21$109.05Bearish
EMA 50$109.84Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -0.714

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.42 · BB 16.60%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.7 · OBV -51.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$102.83 - $118.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.14% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$120.84
Nearest resistance

+10.88% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.8
Nearest support

-3.72% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$102.83
Deeper support zone

-5.98% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$100.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$104.38 - $109.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.83, invalidation $106

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.8 / 14.1 / 50.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.59 / $110.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.42 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.60%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.39 / $103.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.38 / $109.22Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.714Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.82xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $102.83, invalidation $106

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.8 / 14.1 / 50.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.59 / $110.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.714Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.42 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.60%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.39 / $103.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.38 / $109.22Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.82xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.83Range

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