US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish58%
12h Downside probability 58%Bearish

UPS 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.01 and stabilize above resistance $111.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $111.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.0, MACD -0.440

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.09 (2.93%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$106.4Bearish
EMA 21$106.01Bearish
EMA 50$104.69Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD -0.440

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.09 · BB 7.07%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.4 · OBV 32.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$93.88 - $111.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.63% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$114.29
Nearest resistance

+5.69% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$111.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.21
Nearest support

-10.77% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.88
Deeper support zone

-13.7% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$90.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.12 - $108.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.82, invalidation $104.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.0 / 14.7 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.74 / $102.54Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.09 (2.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.07%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.91 / $99.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.12 / $108.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.88Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.440Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.2 / 38.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

32.51%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $110.82, invalidation $104.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.0 / 14.7 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.74 / $102.54Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.440Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.2 / 38.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.09 (2.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.07%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.91 / $99.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.12 / $108.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

32.51%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$111.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.88Range

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