US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish92%
12h Upside probability 92%Bullish

UPS 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $102.85 and reclaim $114.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $102.85 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.9, MACD 0.249

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.65 (1.45%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$111.92Bullish
EMA 21$110.42Bullish
EMA 50$108.53Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.9 · MACD 0.249

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.65 · BB 6.71%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 77.7 · OBV 68.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$102.85 - $114.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.82% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$115.67
Nearest resistance

+0.37% · 0.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$114.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.6
Nearest support

-9.46% · 6.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$102.85
Deeper support zone

-10.92% · 7.5 ATR below latest close

$101.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.95 - $115.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.3, invalidation $108.51

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 37.4 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.85 / $108.43Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.65 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.71%

96%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.34 / $106.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.95 / $115.25Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.249Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

92.4 / 84.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

133.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

68.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.3, invalidation $108.51

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 37.4 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.85 / $108.43Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.249Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

92.4 / 84.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

133.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.65 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.71%

96%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.34 / $106.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.95 / $115.25Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

68.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$114.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$102.85Range

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