US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish89%
12h Downside probability 89%Bearish

UPS 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $103.82 and stabilize above resistance $110.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $110 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.2, MACD 0.101

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.01 (0.99%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$102.72Bearish
EMA 21$103.82Bearish
EMA 50$105.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.2 · MACD 0.101

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.01 · BB 4.81%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 31.8 · OBV -62.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$101.34 - $110

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.71% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$111.01
Nearest resistance

+7.72% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$110
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.12
Nearest support

-0.77% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.34
Deeper support zone

-1.76% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$100.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.11 - $103.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.13, invalidation $101.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 25.1 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.2 / $109.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.01 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.81%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.87 / $101.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.11 / $103.13Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.101Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 27.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $104.13, invalidation $101.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 25.1 / 47.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$99.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.2 / $109.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.101Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 27.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.01 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.81%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$105.87 / $101.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.11 / $103.13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-62.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$110Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.34Range

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