US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish69%
3M Downside probability 69%Bearish

UPS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $131.13 and stabilize above resistance $233.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.47 (21.54%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$111.45Bullish
EMA 21$131.13Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $24.47 · BB 107.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 17.1 · OBV -227.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82 - $233.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+127.28% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$258.19
Nearest resistance

+105.74% · 4.9 ATR above · 29-bar high

$233.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.6
Nearest support

-27.82% · 1.3 ATR below · 29-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-49.36% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$57.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$89.13 - $138.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 7.6 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.47 (21.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.25%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$172.73 / $86.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.13 / $138.07Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-227.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 7.6 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.47 (21.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.25%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$172.73 / $86.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.13 / $138.07Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-227.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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