US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish83%
3M Downside probability 83%Bearish

UPS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $130.08 and stabilize above resistance $233.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.21 (24.72%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$108.88Bearish
EMA 21$130.08Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.8 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.21 · BB 109.19%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 19.2 · OBV -248.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82 - $233.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+153.83% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$258.93
Nearest resistance

+129.11% · 5.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$233.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.01
Nearest support

-19.62% · 0.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-44.33% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$56.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$76.8 - $127.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 8.6 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$42.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.21 (24.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 109.19%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$173.7 / $83.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.8 / $127.22Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 17.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-248.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 8.6 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$42.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 17.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.21 (24.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 109.19%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$173.7 / $83.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.8 / $127.22Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-248.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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