US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish76%
3M Downside probability 76%Bearish

UPS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $130.48 and stabilize above resistance $233.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.11 (23.58%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$109.87Bearish
EMA 21$130.48Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $25.11 · BB 108.39%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 18.3 · OBV -242.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82 - $233.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+143.03% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$258.83
Nearest resistance

+119.46% · 5.1 ATR above · 29-bar high

$233.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.5
Nearest support

-23% · 1.0 ATR below · 29-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-46.58% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$56.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$81.39 - $131.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 8.6 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$43.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.11 (23.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.39%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$173.83 / $83.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.39 / $131.61Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.2 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-242.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 8.6 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$43.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.2 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.11 (23.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.39%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$173.83 / $83.95Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.39 / $131.61Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-242.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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