US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish83%
3M Downside probability 83%Bearish

UPS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $129.92 and stabilize above resistance $233.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.4 (25.32%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$108.49Bearish
EMA 21$129.92Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.4 · BB 109.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 19.8 · OBV -253.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82 - $233.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+158.39% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$259.12
Nearest resistance

+133.07% · 5.3 ATR above · 29-bar high

$233.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.28
Nearest support

-18.23% · 0.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-43.55% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$56.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$74.89 - $125.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 8.6 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.4 (25.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 109.52%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$174.04 / $82.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.89 / $125.68Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 17.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-253.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.86, invalidation $122.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 8.6 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$136.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 17.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-80.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.4 (25.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 109.52%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$174.04 / $82.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$74.89 / $125.68Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-253.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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