US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish72%
3M Downside probability 72%Bearish

UPS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $126 and stabilize above resistance $233.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.8 (25.58%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$103.87Bearish
EMA 21$126Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $23.8 · BB 109.88%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 17.0 · OBV -228.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82 - $233.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+176.84% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$257.52
Nearest resistance

+151.26% · 5.9 ATR above · 30-bar high

$233.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$93.02
Nearest support

-11.85% · 0.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-37.43% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$58.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$69.22 - $116.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $154.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 8.0 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$28.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.8 (25.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 109.88%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.67 / $81.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.22 / $116.82Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.9 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-228.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $154.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 8.0 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$28.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.9 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.8 (25.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 109.88%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.67 / $81.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$69.22 / $116.82Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-228.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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