US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish71%
3M Downside probability 71%Bearish

UPS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.81 and stabilize above resistance $233.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.38 (23.98%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$110.65Bearish
EMA 21$145.81Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $25.38 · BB 105.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.6 · OBV -171.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82.05 - $233.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+144.76% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$259.01
Nearest resistance

+120.78% · 5.0 ATR above · 24-bar high

$233.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.82
Nearest support

-22.46% · 0.9 ATR below · 24-bar low

$82.05
Deeper support zone

-46.45% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$56.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$80.44 - $131.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82.05, invalidation $122.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.38 (23.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.44%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.48 / $96.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.44 / $131.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 16.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-171.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $82.05, invalidation $122.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 16.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.38 (23.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.44%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.48 / $96.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.44 / $131.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-171.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.05Range

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