US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish62%
3M Downside probability 62%Bearish

UPS 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $126.69 and stabilize above resistance $233.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $233.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.36 (24.21%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$105.56Bearish
EMA 21$126.69Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $24.36 · BB 108.38%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 16.9 · OBV -221.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82 - $233.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+156.51% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$258.08
Nearest resistance

+132.3% · 5.5 ATR above · 30-bar high

$233.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.61
Nearest support

-18.5% · 0.8 ATR below · 30-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-42.71% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$57.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$76.25 - $124.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $154.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 7.8 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.36 (24.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.38%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$169.96 / $80.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.25 / $124.97Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.8 / 16.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-221.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $154.87

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 7.8 / 26.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.68 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.8 / 16.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.36 (24.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.38%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$169.96 / $80.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.25 / $124.97Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-221.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$233.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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