US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish86%
Monthly Upside probability 86%Bullish

UPS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $82 and reclaim $163.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $82 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.3, MACD 3.798

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.07 (10.62%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$106.85Bullish
EMA 21$110.69Bullish
EMA 50$126.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.3 · MACD 3.798

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.07 · BB 42.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.2 · OBV 37.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82 - $163.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.82% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$175.88
Nearest resistance

+44.2% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$163.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.6
Nearest support

-27.82% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-38.44% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$69.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.53 - $125.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $93.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.6 / 25.9 / 16.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.85 / $148.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.07 (10.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.79%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.1 / $83.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.53 / $125.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.798Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.2 / 67.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

59.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

37.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $93.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.6 / 25.9 / 16.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.85 / $148.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.798Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.2 / 67.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

59.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.07 (10.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.79%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.1 / $83.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.53 / $125.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

37.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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