US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish70%
Monthly Upside probability 70%Bullish

UPS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $82 and reclaim $158.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $82 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.3, MACD 2.847

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.15 (11.91%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.07Bullish
EMA 21$108.16Bullish
EMA 50$122.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.3 · MACD 2.847

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $13.15 · BB 33.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 71.8 · OBV 427.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82 - $158.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+55.92% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$172.1
Nearest resistance

+44% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$158.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$110.38
Nearest support

-25.71% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-37.62% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$68.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$97.23 - $123.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $118.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 31.6 / 13.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.27 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.15 (11.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.48%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.96 / $80.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.23 / $123.53Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$158.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.847Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.2 / 54.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

115.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

427.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $118.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 31.6 / 13.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.27 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.847Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.2 / 54.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

115.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.15 (11.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.48%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.96 / $80.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$97.23 / $123.53Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

427.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$158.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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