US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish67%
Monthly Upside probability 67%Bullish

UPS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $82 and reclaim $163.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $82 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 45.8, MACD 3.149

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.39 (11.63%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.15Bullish
EMA 21$109.53Bearish
EMA 50$125.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD 3.149

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.39 · BB 37.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.4 · OBV 63.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82 - $163.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.45% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$176.2
Nearest resistance

+53.82% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$163.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.5
Nearest support

-23% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-34.64% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$69.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.11 - $118.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $93.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.6 / 27.4 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.6 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.39 (11.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.21%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.62 / $84.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.11 / $118.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.149Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.6 / 59.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

32.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

63.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.41, invalidation $93.86

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.6 / 27.4 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.6 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.149Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.6 / 59.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

32.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.39 (11.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.21%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.62 / $84.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.11 / $118.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

63.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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