US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish66%
Monthly Downside probability 66%Bearish

UPS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.56 and stabilize above resistance $161.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $161.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.3, MACD 1.549

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.98 (12.88%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$100.17Bearish
EMA 21$106.56Bearish
EMA 50$122.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.3 · MACD 1.549

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.98 · BB 33.39%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 62.1 · OBV 64.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82 - $161.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+86.48% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$173.46
Nearest resistance

+73.6% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$161.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$93.02
Nearest support

-11.85% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-24.73% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$70.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$81.04 - $105

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 28.4 / 16.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.26 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.98 (12.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.39%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$131.71 / $80.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.04 / $105Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.549Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 37.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

64.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 28.4 / 16.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.26 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.549Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 37.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.98 (12.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.39%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$131.71 / $80.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.04 / $105Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

64.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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