US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish56%
Monthly Downside probability 56%Bearish

UPS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $110.3 and stabilize above resistance $170.64.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $170.64 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.3, MACD 3.447

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.17 (11.5%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$104.59Bullish
EMA 21$110.3Bearish
EMA 50$133.92Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD 3.447

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $12.17 · BB 49.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.9 · OBV -60.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$82.05 - $170.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+72.76% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$182.81
Nearest resistance

+61.25% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$170.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.82
Nearest support

-22.46% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.05
Deeper support zone

-33.96% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$69.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.65 - $117.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.39, invalidation $82.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 23.6 / 16.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.97 / $152.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.17 (11.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.64%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.12 / $83.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.65 / $117.99Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.447Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.9 / 61.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

11.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.39, invalidation $82.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.0 / 23.6 / 16.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.97 / $152.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.447Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.9 / 61.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

11.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.17 (11.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.64%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.12 / $83.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.65 / $117.99Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.05Range

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