US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 monthRange48%
Monthly Range probability 96%Range

UPS 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $82 - $161.48 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.9, MACD 2.023

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.54 (12.48%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$101.83Bearish
EMA 21$107.23Bearish
EMA 50$122.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD 2.023

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $12.54 · BB 32.73%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 63.9 · OBV 94.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82 - $161.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+73.24% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$174.02
Nearest resistance

+60.76% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$161.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.45
Nearest support

-18.37% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82
Deeper support zone

-30.85% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$69.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$87.91 - $112.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 27.1 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.26 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.54 (12.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.73%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.98 / $79.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.91 / $112.99Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.023Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.7 / 43.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

94.08%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 27.1 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$110.26 / $145.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.023Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.7 / 43.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.54 (12.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.73%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.98 / $79.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.91 / $112.99Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

94.08%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82Range

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