US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish68%
1h Downside probability 68%Bearish

UPS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.45 and stabilize above resistance $104.13.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $104.13 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.4, MACD -0.083

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3274 (0.32%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$102.23Bearish
EMA 21$102.45Bearish
EMA 50$102.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.4 · MACD -0.083

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3274 · BB 1.50%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.1 · OBV -5.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$101.57 - $104.13

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.29% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$104.46
Nearest resistance

+1.97% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$104.13
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$102.12
Nearest support

-0.54% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$101.57
Deeper support zone

-0.86% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$101.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$101.79 - $102.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.35, invalidation $102.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 11.4 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.51 / $102.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3274 (0.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.50%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.15 / $101.73Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.79 / $102.45Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.7 / 11.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.35, invalidation $102.06

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 11.4 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.51 / $102.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.083Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.7 / 11.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3274 (0.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.50%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.15 / $101.73Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$101.79 / $102.45Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$101.57Range

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