US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

UPS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $106.04 and stabilize above resistance $109.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $109.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD -0.088

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8457 (0.8%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.41Bearish
EMA 21$106.04Bearish
EMA 50$106.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD -0.088

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8457 · BB 4.09%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 32.7 · OBV -43.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$103.05 - $109.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.79% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$110.25
Nearest resistance

+3.98% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$109.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.21
Nearest support

-2.05% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$103.05
Deeper support zone

-2.86% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$102.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$104.36 - $106.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.23, invalidation $104.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.0 / 10.4 / 43.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.23 / $106.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8457 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.09%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.79 / $104.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.36 / $106.06Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$103.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.2 / 44.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $106.23, invalidation $104.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.0 / 10.4 / 43.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.23 / $106.93Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.2 / 44.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8457 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.09%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.79 / $104.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.36 / $106.06Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$109.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$103.05Range

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