US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish83%
1h Downside probability 83%Bearish

UPS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $111.73 and stabilize above resistance $113.23.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $113.23 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.9, MACD -0.268

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4573 (0.41%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$111.52Bearish
EMA 21$111.73Bearish
EMA 50$111.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.9 · MACD -0.268

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4573 · BB 2.09%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 13.7 · OBV -21.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$108.94 - $113.23

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.98% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$113.69
Nearest resistance

+2.56% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$113.23
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$110.4
Nearest support

-1.32% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$108.94
Deeper support zone

-1.74% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$108.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$109.94 - $110.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.23, invalidation $112.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.6 / 20.3 / 42.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.81 / $110.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4573 (0.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.09%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.88 / $110.59Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.94 / $110.86Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$113.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.268Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.7 / 4.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-248.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.90xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $113.23, invalidation $112.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.6 / 20.3 / 42.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$111.81 / $110.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.268Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.7 / 4.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-248.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4573 (0.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.09%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.88 / $110.59Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.94 / $110.86Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.90xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$113.23Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.94Range

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