US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBullish86%
1h Upside probability 86%Bullish

UPS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $103.43 and reclaim $107.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $103.43 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.4, MACD 0.205

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5971 (0.56%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$106.42Bullish
EMA 21$105.76Bullish
EMA 50$105.91Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.4 · MACD 0.205

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.5971 · BB 3.95%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 68.8 · OBV 2.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$103.43 - $107.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+0.98% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$107.85
Nearest resistance

+0.42% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$107.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.8
Nearest support

-3.16% · 5.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$103.43
Deeper support zone

-3.71% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

$102.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$106.2 - $107.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.18, invalidation $104.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.1 / 48.7 / 11.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.89 / $105.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5971 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.95%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.12 / $104.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.2 / $107.4Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$103.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.205Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.4 / 86.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

104.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.35xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.18, invalidation $104.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.1 / 48.7 / 11.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.89 / $105.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.205Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

85.4 / 86.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-14.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

104.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 12Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5971 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.95%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.12 / $104.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.2 / $107.4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.35xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$107.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$103.43Range

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