US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish67%
1h Downside probability 67%Bearish

UPS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $100.54 and stabilize above resistance $101.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $101.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.5, MACD -0.189

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5373 (0.53%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$100.59Bearish
EMA 21$100.54Bearish
EMA 50$99.75Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.5 · MACD -0.189

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5373 · BB 2.93%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.4 · OBV -1.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$98.47 - $101.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.05% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$102.51
Nearest resistance

+1.51% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$101.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.45
Nearest support

-1.97% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98.47
Deeper support zone

-2.51% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$97.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.91 - $100.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.11, invalidation $101.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 10.9 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.37 / $99.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5373 (0.53%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.93%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.75 / $99.38Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.91 / $100.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.189Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.8 / 47.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.11, invalidation $101.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 10.9 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$100.37 / $99.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.189Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.8 / 47.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.1Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5373 (0.53%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.93%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.75 / $99.38Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.91 / $100.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.47Range

Related Forecasts