US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

UPS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $93.73 and stabilize above resistance $94.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $94.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.4, MACD -0.145

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.3777 (0.41%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$93.43Bearish
EMA 21$93.73Bearish
EMA 50$93.86Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.4 · MACD -0.145

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.3777 · BB 1.96%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 17.4 · OBV -22.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$92.69 - $94.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.21% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$95.1
Nearest resistance

+1.81% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$94.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$93.04
Nearest support

-0.38% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$92.69
Deeper support zone

-0.78% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$92.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$92.66 - $93.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.69, invalidation $94.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.3 / 25.3 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.7 / $93.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3777 (0.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.96%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$94.56 / $92.88Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.66 / $93.42Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.145Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 14.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.06xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.69, invalidation $94.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.3 / 25.3 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$93.7 / $93.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.145Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 14.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.3777 (0.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.96%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$94.56 / $92.88Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$92.66 / $93.42Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.06xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92.69Range

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