US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish77%
Weekly Upside probability 77%Bullish

UPS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $91.63 and reclaim $118.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $91.63 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.2, MACD 0.939

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.84 (4.39%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$104.25Bullish
EMA 21$103.44Bullish
EMA 50$103.83Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.2 · MACD 0.939

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.84 · BB 25.82%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 54.6 · OBV 27.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$91.63 - $118.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.67% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$123.26
Nearest resistance

+7.28% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$110.38
Nearest support

-16.99% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.63
Deeper support zone

-21.37% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$86.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$105.54 - $115.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $107.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 35.1 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.16 / $106.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.84 (4.39%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.82%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.03 / $92.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.54 / $115.22Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.939Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.3 / 74.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $107.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 35.1 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$104.16 / $106.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.939Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.3 / 74.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.84 (4.39%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.82%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.03 / $92.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.54 / $115.22Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

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