US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 weekRange49%
Weekly Range probability 98%Range

UPS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $93.86 - $122.41 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.2, MACD -0.014

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.6 (6.19%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$108.99Bearish
EMA 21$107.09Bearish
EMA 50$105.5Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.2 · MACD -0.014

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $6.6 · BB 20.84%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.2 · OBV 38.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$93.86 - $122.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.13% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$129.01
Nearest resistance

+14.94% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$106.5
Nearest support

-11.87% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.86
Deeper support zone

-18.06% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$87.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$99.9 - $113.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 21.0 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.38 / $102.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.6 (6.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.84%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.87 / $94.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.9 / $113.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.5 / 59.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.42, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 21.0 / 24.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.38 / $102.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.5 / 59.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.6 (6.19%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.84%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.87 / $94.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$99.9 / $113.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.86Range

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