US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

UPS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.79 and stabilize above resistance $122.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.6, MACD -1.829

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.25 (5.64%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$99.25Bearish
EMA 21$102.79Bearish
EMA 50$103.85Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.6 · MACD -1.829

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.25 · BB 23.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.8 · OBV -13.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.63 - $122.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.24% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$127.66
Nearest resistance

+31.6% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$93.02
Nearest support

-1.49% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.63
Deeper support zone

-7.14% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$86.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$87.77 - $98.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.11, invalidation $101.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 17.5 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.78 / $102.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.25 (5.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.09%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.03 / $92.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.77 / $98.27Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.829Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 6.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-178.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.11, invalidation $101.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 17.5 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.78 / $102.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.829Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 6.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-178.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.25 (5.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.09%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.03 / $92.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.77 / $98.27Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

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