US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

UPS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $101.52 and stabilize above resistance $118.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $118.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -0.950

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.02 (5%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$98.58Bullish
EMA 21$101.52Bearish
EMA 50$103.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -0.950

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.02 · BB 25.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.7 · OBV -3.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$91.63 - $118.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.89% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$123.44
Nearest resistance

+17.89% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.45
Nearest support

-8.78% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.63
Deeper support zone

-13.78% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$86.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$95.43 - $105.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $107.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 15.3 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.2 / $105.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.02 (5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.36%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.09 / $92.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.43 / $105.47Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.950Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.63, invalidation $107.11

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 15.3 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$86.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.2 / $105.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.950Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.02 (5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.36%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.09 / $92.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$95.43 / $105.47Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.63Range

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