US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish77%
Weekly Downside probability 77%Bearish

UPS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $105.32 and stabilize above resistance $122.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.41 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD -1.129

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.66 (5.64%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$104.18Bearish
EMA 21$105.32Bearish
EMA 50$104.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD -1.129

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.66 · BB 18.26%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.4 · OBV -8.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$93.86 - $122.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.71% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$128.07
Nearest resistance

+22.07% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$100.28
Nearest support

-6.4% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.86
Deeper support zone

-12.04% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$88.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.62 - $105.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.11, invalidation $101.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 15.6 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.38 / $102.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.66 (5.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.26%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$116.13 / $94.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.62 / $105.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.86Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.5 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.11, invalidation $101.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 15.6 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.38 / $102.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.5 / 12.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.66 (5.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.26%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$116.13 / $94.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.62 / $105.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.86Range

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