US stock / ETF

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish82%
Weekly Upside probability 82%Bullish

UPS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $93.35 and reclaim $122.41.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $93.35 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.1, MACD 0.817

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.3 (5.55%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$109.35Bullish
EMA 21$106.33Bullish
EMA 50$104.97Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.1 · MACD 0.817

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $6.3 · BB 20.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.7 · OBV 16.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$93.35 - $122.41

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.3% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$128.71
Nearest resistance

+7.76% · 1.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.41
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.6
Nearest support

-17.83% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.35
Deeper support zone

-23.37% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$87.05
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$107.3 - $119.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.22, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 23.7 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.04 / $102.21Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.3 (5.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.68%

93%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.79 / $95.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.3 / $119.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.817Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.9 / 96.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

136.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.22, invalidation $93.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 23.7 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.04 / $102.21Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.817Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.9 / 96.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

136.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.3 (5.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.68%

93%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.79 / $95.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.3 / $119.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.41Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.35Range

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