US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

4 hoursRange47%
4h Range probability 94%Range

UNP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $284.79 - $313.15 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.4, MACD 0.006

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.36 (1.15%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$291.6Bearish
EMA 21$293.22Bearish
EMA 50$293.16Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.4 · MACD 0.006

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $3.36 · BB 5.10%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV -37.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$284.79 - $313.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.68% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$316.51
Nearest resistance

+7.53% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$313.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$291.23
Nearest support

-2.21% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$284.79
Deeper support zone

-3.36% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$281.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$287.87 - $294.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $296.73, invalidation $287.91

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.0 / 20.1 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$280.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.69 / $298.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.36 (1.15%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.10%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$300.02 / $286.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.87 / $294.59Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$313.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.006Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.9 / 50.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $296.73, invalidation $287.91

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.0 / 20.1 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$280.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.69 / $298.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.006Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.9 / 50.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.36 (1.15%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.10%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$300.02 / $286.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.87 / $294.59Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$313.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284.79Range

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