US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

UNP 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $263.39 and stabilize above resistance $274.11.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274.11 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.8, MACD -0.355

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.09 (1.57%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$261.17Bearish
EMA 21$263.39Bearish
EMA 50$264.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.8 · MACD -0.355

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.09 · BB 7.20%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.6 · OBV -43.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$255.5 - $274.11

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.87% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$278.2
Nearest resistance

+5.3% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$274.11
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.31
Nearest support

-1.85% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$255.5
Deeper support zone

-3.42% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$251.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$256.22 - $264.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $262.41, invalidation $258.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 14.0 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$246.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.2 / $267.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.09 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.20%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.1 / $254.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.22 / $264.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.355Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.1 / 29.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $262.41, invalidation $258.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 14.0 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$246.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.2 / $267.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.355Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.1 / 29.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.09 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.20%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$272.1 / $254.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.22 / $264.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.5Range

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