US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish81%
Daily Downside probability 81%Bearish

UNP 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $264.53 and stabilize above resistance $279.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $279.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.9, MACD -1.527

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.87 (2.27%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$261.92Bearish
EMA 21$264.53Bearish
EMA 50$262.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD -1.527

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.87 · BB 8.44%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.2 · OBV -13.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$255.5 - $279.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.39% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$285.5
Nearest resistance

+8.12% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$279.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$258.63
Nearest support

-1.21% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$255.5
Deeper support zone

-3.48% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$249.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$252.76 - $264.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.5, invalidation $273.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 17.1 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$243.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.08 / $263.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.87 (2.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.44%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$275.38 / $253.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$252.76 / $264.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.527Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.8 / 13.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.5, invalidation $273.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 17.1 / 21.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$243.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.08 / $263.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.527Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.8 / 13.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.87 (2.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.44%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$275.38 / $253.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$252.76 / $264.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.5Range

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