US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

UNP 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $280.09 and stabilize above resistance $314.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $314.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.7, MACD 0.439

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.41 (1.58%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$275.99Bullish
EMA 21$280.09Bearish
EMA 50$284.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.7 · MACD 0.439

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.41 · BB 7.38%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.1 · OBV -17.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$268.68 - $314.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.47% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$318.56
Nearest resistance

+12.89% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$314.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$278.28
Nearest support

-3.45% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$268.68
Deeper support zone

-5.03% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$264.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$273.87 - $282.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $268.68, invalidation $288.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.5 / 18.9 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$263.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.24 / $292.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.41 (1.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.38%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$288.27 / $271.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$273.87 / $282.69Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$314.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$268.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.439Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $268.68, invalidation $288.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.5 / 18.9 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$263.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.24 / $292.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.439Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-31.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.41 (1.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.38%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$288.27 / $271.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$273.87 / $282.69Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$314.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$268.68Range

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