US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

CAT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $958.31 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD -11.357

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $45.87 (4.91%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$953.73Bearish
EMA 21$958.31Bearish
EMA 50$920.82Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD -11.357

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $45.87 · BB 16.14%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.0 · OBV 0.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$853.37 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.84% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$1,119.3
Nearest resistance

+14.93% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$934
Nearest support

-8.63% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$853.37
Deeper support zone

-13.54% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$807.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$888.13 - $979.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $909.53, invalidation $983.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 24.2 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$816.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$969.75 / $941.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$45.87 (4.91%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.14%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,045.1 / $872.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$888.13 / $979.87Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$853.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.357Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.9 / 20.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

45.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $909.53, invalidation $983.16

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 24.2 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$816.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$969.75 / $941.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.357Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.9 / 20.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$45.87 (4.91%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.14%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,045.1 / $872.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$888.13 / $979.87Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

45.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$853.37Range

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