US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

CAT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $873.73 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.1, MACD -8.679

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $36 (4.47%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$832.97Bearish
EMA 21$873.73Bearish
EMA 50$890.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.1 · MACD -8.679

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $36 · BB 22.66%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.0 · OBV -9.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$776 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.71% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$1,109.5
Nearest resistance

+33.24% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$805.65
Nearest support

-3.68% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$776
Deeper support zone

-8.15% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$740
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$769.65 - $841.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776, invalidation $845

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.8 / 6.9 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$700.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$883.77 / $924.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$36 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.66%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$945.09 / $798.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$769.65 / $841.65Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.679Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.2 / 26.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776, invalidation $845

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.8 / 6.9 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$700.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$883.77 / $924.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.679Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.2 / 26.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$36 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.66%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$945.09 / $798.03Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$769.65 / $841.65Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776Range

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