US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish81%
Daily Downside probability 81%Bearish

CAT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $848.94 and stabilize above resistance $983.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $983.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.3, MACD 0.632

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $24.03 (2.9%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$832.58Bearish
EMA 21$848.94Bearish
EMA 50$870.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.3 · MACD 0.632

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $24.03 · BB 11.35%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.3 · OBV -3.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$776 - $983.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.66% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$1,007.2
Nearest resistance

+18.75% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$983.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$827.9
Nearest support

-6.27% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$776
Deeper support zone

-9.17% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$751.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$803.87 - $851.93

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $801, invalidation $871.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 10.8 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$753.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$845.8 / $924.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$24.03 (2.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.35%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$893.46 / $801.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$803.87 / $851.93Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$983.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.632Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.7 / 17.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $801, invalidation $871.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 10.8 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$753.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$845.8 / $924.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.632Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.7 / 17.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$24.03 (2.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.35%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$893.46 / $801.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$803.87 / $851.93Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$983.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776Range

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