US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

CAT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $763.8 and stabilize above resistance $876.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $876.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.1, MACD -9.625

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $30.1 (4.37%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$727.75Bearish
EMA 21$763.8Bearish
EMA 50$797.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.1 · MACD -9.625

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $30.1 · BB 25.75%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.5 · OBV -14.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$681.5 - $876.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.77% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$907.05
Nearest resistance

+27.4% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$876.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$688.35
Nearest support

-1% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$681.5
Deeper support zone

-5.37% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$651.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$658.25 - $718.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $704.01, invalidation $745

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.6 / 10.8 / 52.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$614.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$758.16 / $779.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$30.1 (4.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.75%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$817.23 / $706.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$658.25 / $718.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$876.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.625Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.5 / 9.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $704.01, invalidation $745

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.6 / 10.8 / 52.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$614.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$758.16 / $779.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.625Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.5 / 9.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$30.1 (4.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.75%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$817.23 / $706.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$658.25 / $718.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-14.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$876.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

Related Forecasts