US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish59%
Daily Downside probability 59%Bearish

CAT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $820.02 and stabilize above resistance $935.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $935 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 47.6, MACD 4.223

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $19.1 (2.33%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$813.34Bullish
EMA 21$820.02Bearish
EMA 50$844.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD 4.223

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $19.1 · BB 8.45%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.4 · OBV -7.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$771.39 - $935

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.56% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$954.1
Nearest resistance

+14.22% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$935
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$818.57
Nearest support

-5.76% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$771.39
Deeper support zone

-8.1% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$752.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$799.47 - $837.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $827.96, invalidation $797.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 22.4 / 23.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$766.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$810.49 / $906.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$19.1 (2.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.45%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$854.42 / $783.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$799.47 / $837.67Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$935Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$771.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.223Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.8 / 67.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

21.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $827.96, invalidation $797.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 22.4 / 23.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$766.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$810.49 / $906.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.223Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.8 / 67.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

21.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$19.1 (2.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.45%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$854.42 / $783.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$799.47 / $837.67Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$935Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$771.39Range

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