US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish78%
12h Downside probability 78%Bearish

UNP 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $264.24 and stabilize above resistance $279.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $279.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.3, MACD -1.315

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.08 (2.34%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$261.73Bearish
EMA 21$264.24Bearish
EMA 50$262.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD -1.315

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.08 · BB 8.35%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.2 · OBV -29.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$255.5 - $279.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.76% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$285.71
Nearest resistance

+7.42% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$279.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.31
Nearest support

-1.85% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$255.5
Deeper support zone

-4.18% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$249.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$254.23 - $266.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.5, invalidation $273.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.7 / 13.8 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$243.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.08 / $263.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.08 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.35%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$275.86 / $252.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$254.23 / $266.39Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.8 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.5, invalidation $273.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.7 / 13.8 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$243.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.08 / $263.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.315Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.8 / 22.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.08 (2.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.35%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$275.86 / $252.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$254.23 / $266.39Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$255.5Range

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