US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

HWM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $217.97 and stabilize above resistance $246.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $246 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 19.3, MACD -2.517

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.44 (4.54%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$206.03Bearish
EMA 21$217.97Bearish
EMA 50$233.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 19.3 · MACD -2.517

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.44 · BB 21.66%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.9 · OBV -2.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$184.73 - $246

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.72% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$254.44
Nearest resistance

+32.19% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$246
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$186.1
Nearest support

-0.74% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$184.73
Deeper support zone

-5.27% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$176.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$177.66 - $194.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.08, invalidation $224.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.2 / 4.9 / 52.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$164.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.97 / $239.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.44 (4.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.66%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$235.58 / $198.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$177.66 / $194.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$246Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.517Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.9 / 8.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-242.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.08, invalidation $224.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.2 / 4.9 / 52.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$164.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$206.97 / $239.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.517Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.9 / 8.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-242.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.44 (4.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.66%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$235.58 / $198.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$177.66 / $194.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$246Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$184.73Range

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