US stock / ETF

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

HWM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

HWM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $254.88 and stabilize above resistance $310.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $310 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.4, MACD -3.655

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.95 (3.9%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$239.94Bearish
EMA 21$254.88Bearish
EMA 50$264.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.4 · MACD -3.655

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.95 · BB 28.85%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.5 · OBV -5.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$226.3 - $310

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.91% · 10.0 ATR above latest close

$318.95
Nearest resistance

+35.01% · 9.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$310
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$229.61
Nearest support

-1.44% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$226.3
Deeper support zone

-5.34% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$217.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$220.66 - $238.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $226.3, invalidation $263.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.4 / 11.5 / 45.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$200.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$252.66 / $268.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.95 (3.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.85%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$273.67 / $234.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.66 / $238.56Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$226.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.655Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 6.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.53xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $226.3, invalidation $263.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.4 / 11.5 / 45.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$200.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$252.66 / $268.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.655Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 6.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.95 (3.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.85%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$273.67 / $234.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.66 / $238.56Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.53xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$310Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$226.3Range

Related Forecasts