US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

UNP 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $199.6 and reclaim $279.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $199.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.3, MACD 3.166

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.89 (8.46%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$251.65Bullish
EMA 21$241.73Bullish
EMA 50$231.78Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.3 · MACD 3.166

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.89 · BB 25.98%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.4 · OBV 16.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$199.6 - $279.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.58% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$301.52
Nearest resistance

+8.12% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$279.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$258.63
Nearest support

-22.82% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.6
Deeper support zone

-31.29% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$177.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$236.74 - $280.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.74, invalidation $210.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.8 / 20.0 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$244.91 / $231.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.89 (8.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.98%

83%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.86 / $194.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.74 / $280.52Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.166Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.5 / 80.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.5Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

136.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.74, invalidation $210.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.8 / 20.0 / 7.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$244.91 / $231.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.166Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.5 / 80.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.5Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

136.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.89 (8.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.98%

83%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$289.86 / $194.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.74 / $280.52Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$279.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.6Range

Related Forecasts