US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish57%
1h Downside probability 57%Bearish

UNP 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $288.79 and stabilize above resistance $291.96.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $291.96 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.2, MACD -0.304

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.28 (0.44%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$289.51Bearish
EMA 21$288.79Bearish
EMA 50$286.09Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.2 · MACD -0.304

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.28 · BB 1.44%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 34.3 · OBV -13.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$280.96 - $291.96

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.71% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$293.24
Nearest resistance

+1.27% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$291.96
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$288.3
Nearest support

-2.55% · 5.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$280.96
Deeper support zone

-2.99% · 6.7 ATR below latest close

$279.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$287.02 - $289.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $291.96, invalidation $288.42

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 33.0 / 28.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$284.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.13 / $285.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.28 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.44%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$291.65 / $286.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.02 / $289.58Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$291.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$280.96Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 38.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.40xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $291.96, invalidation $288.42

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.8 / 33.0 / 28.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$284.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.13 / $285.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 38.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-87.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.28 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.44%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$291.65 / $286.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.02 / $289.58Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.40xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$291.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$280.96Range

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