US stock / ETF

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP · NYSE · USD

1 hourBullish63%
1h Upside probability 63%Bullish

UNP 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $278.59 and reclaim $298.58.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $278.59 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.9, MACD -0.604

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.32 (0.8%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$293.74Bearish
EMA 21$293.2Bearish
EMA 50$290.7Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.9 · MACD -0.604

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.32 · BB 6.75%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 66.1 · OBV 6.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$278.59 - $298.58

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.03% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$300.9
Nearest resistance

+2.23% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$298.58
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$292.06
Nearest support

-4.61% · 5.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$278.59
Deeper support zone

-5.41% · 6.8 ATR below latest close

$276.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$289.74 - $294.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $298.58, invalidation $288.61

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 28.1 / 40.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$285.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$290.97 / $288.58Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

67%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.32 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.75%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$298.29 / $288.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$289.74 / $294.38Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$298.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$278.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.604Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.6 / 44.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $298.58, invalidation $288.61

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 28.1 / 40.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$285.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$290.97 / $288.58Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

67%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.604Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.6 / 44.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.32 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.75%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$298.29 / $288.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$289.74 / $294.38Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$298.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$278.59Range

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