US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

TSLA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $370.1 and stabilize above resistance $387.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $387.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.0, MACD -1.803

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.21 (1.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$365.34Bearish
EMA 21$370.1Bearish
EMA 50$370.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.0 · MACD -1.803

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.21 · BB 8.23%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 16.6 · OBV -1.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$355.23 - $387.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.15% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$391.51
Nearest resistance

+6.99% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$387.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$362
Nearest support

-1.87% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$355.23
Deeper support zone

-3.03% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$351.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$357.79 - $366.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $355.23, invalidation $376.83

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 6.7 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$347.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$368.65 / $367Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.21 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.23%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$379.21 / $360.62Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$357.79 / $366.21Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$387.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.803Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 26.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $355.23, invalidation $376.83

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.6 / 6.7 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$347.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$368.65 / $367Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.803Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 26.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.21 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.23%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$379.21 / $360.62Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$357.79 / $366.21Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$387.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355.23Range

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