US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

TSLA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $395.54 and stabilize above resistance $418.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $418.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.8, MACD -2.137

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.56 (2.27%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$388.73Bearish
EMA 21$395.54Bearish
EMA 50$402.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.8 · MACD -2.137

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.56 · BB 10.23%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.8 · OBV -130.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$373.68 - $418.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.28% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$427.05
Nearest resistance

+11.01% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$418.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$376.98
Nearest support

-0.88% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$373.68
Deeper support zone

-3.15% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$365.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$368.42 - $385.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $414.63, invalidation $384.74

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 15.4 / 43.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$348.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$394.5 / $408.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.56 (2.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.23%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$414.51 / $375.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$368.42 / $385.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$418.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.137Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 8.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-130.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $414.63, invalidation $384.74

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 15.4 / 43.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$348.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$394.5 / $408.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.137Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 8.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.56 (2.27%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.23%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$414.51 / $375.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$368.42 / $385.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-130.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$418.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.68Range

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