US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

TSLA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $400.16 and stabilize above resistance $438.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $438.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD -0.739

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.87 (1.48%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$397.71Bearish
EMA 21$400.16Bearish
EMA 50$401.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD -0.739

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.87 · BB 6.05%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 64.0 · OBV 5.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$389.3 - $438.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.33% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$444.01
Nearest resistance

+10.85% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$438.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.26
Nearest support

-1.51% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$389.3
Deeper support zone

-2.99% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$383.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$389.39 - $401.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.22, invalidation $391.37

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 26.5 / 25.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$379.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$402.49 / $402.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.87 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.05%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$410.95 / $389.15Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$389.39 / $401.13Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$438.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$389.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.739Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 28.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.22, invalidation $391.37

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 26.5 / 25.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$379.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$402.49 / $402.82Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.739Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.3 / 28.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.87 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.05%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$410.95 / $389.15Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$389.39 / $401.13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

64.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$438.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$389.3Range

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