US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

TSLA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $402.28 and stabilize above resistance $498.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $498.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.4, MACD -0.831

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $36.4 (9.54%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$400.36Bearish
EMA 21$402.28Bearish
EMA 50$390.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD -0.831

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $36.4 · BB 23.93%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.4 · OBV -109.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$337.27 - $498.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.28% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$535.2
Nearest resistance

+30.74% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$498.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$381.54
Nearest support

-11.6% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$337.27
Deeper support zone

-21.14% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$300.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$345.13 - $417.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $453.39, invalidation $337.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 21.8 / 20.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$283.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$405.97 / $393.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.4 (9.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.93%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$472.44 / $332.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$345.13 / $417.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$337.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.831Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.1 / 50.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $453.39, invalidation $337.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 21.8 / 20.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$283.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$405.97 / $393.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.831Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.1 / 50.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.4 (9.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.93%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$472.44 / $332.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$345.13 / $417.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$337.27Range

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