US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish56%
Weekly Upside probability 56%Bullish

TSLA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $297.38 and reclaim $453.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $297.38 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.2, MACD 2.375

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $32 (8.63%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$363.23Bullish
EMA 21$370.14Bullish
EMA 50$376.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD 2.375

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $32 · BB 35.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.6 · OBV 0.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$297.38 - $453.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.98% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$485.4
Nearest resistance

+22.35% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$453.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$370.59
Nearest support

-19.75% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$297.38
Deeper support zone

-28.39% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$265.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$338.59 - $402.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $297.38, invalidation $384.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 22.9 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$283.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$362.01 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32 (8.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.76%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.39 / $318.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$338.59 / $402.59Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$453.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.375Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.0 / 52.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $297.38, invalidation $384.04

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 22.9 / 26.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$283.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$362.01 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.375Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.0 / 52.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32 (8.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.76%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.39 / $318.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$338.59 / $402.59Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$453.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

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