US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

TSLA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $375.03 and stabilize above resistance $469.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $469.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -5.540

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.01 (10.2%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$354.73Bullish
EMA 21$375.03Bearish
EMA 50$380.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -5.540

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $37.01 · BB 38.11%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.0 · OBV 2.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$297.38 - $469.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.56% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$506.41
Nearest resistance

+29.36% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$469.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$362.86
Nearest support

-18.05% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$297.38
Deeper support zone

-28.25% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$260.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$325.85 - $399.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $297.38, invalidation $432.86

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 16.1 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$236.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.25 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.01 (10.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.11%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$449.07 / $299.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$325.85 / $399.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$469.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.540Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.2 / 31.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $297.38, invalidation $432.86

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 16.1 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$236.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.25 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.540Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.2 / 31.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.01 (10.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.11%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$449.07 / $299.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$325.85 / $399.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$469.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

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