US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

TSLA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $378.41 and stabilize above resistance $498.83.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $498.83 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.9, MACD -10.420

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.92 (12.04%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$352.26Bearish
EMA 21$378.41Bearish
EMA 50$382.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.9 · MACD -10.420

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $37.92 · BB 38.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.8 · OBV -1.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$297.38 - $498.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+70.46% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$536.75
Nearest resistance

+58.42% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$498.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$314.88
Nearest support

-5.56% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$297.38
Deeper support zone

-17.6% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$259.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$276.96 - $352.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $432.86, invalidation $368.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 18.3 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$200.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.25 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.92 (12.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.49%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$455.31 / $299.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$276.96 / $352.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.420Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 8.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $432.86, invalidation $368.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 18.3 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$200.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.25 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.420Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.2 / 8.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.92 (12.04%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.49%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$455.31 / $299.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$276.96 / $352.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

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