US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

TSLA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $370.48 and stabilize above resistance $453.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $453.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD 3.042

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $29.65 (8.18%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$366.42Bearish
EMA 21$370.48Bearish
EMA 50$376.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD 3.042

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $29.65 · BB 29.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.7 · OBV 0.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$297.38 - $453.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.28% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$483.05
Nearest resistance

+25.1% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$453.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$362.44
Nearest support

-17.95% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$297.38
Deeper support zone

-26.13% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$267.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$332.79 - $392.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $384.04, invalidation $345.88

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 23.7 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$290.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$367.62 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.65 (8.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.77%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$422.53 / $317.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$332.79 / $392.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$453.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.042Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.6 / 61.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-6.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $384.04, invalidation $345.88

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 23.7 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$290.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$367.62 / $398.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.042Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.6 / 61.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-6.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.65 (8.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.77%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$422.53 / $317.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$332.79 / $392.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$453.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.38Range

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