US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish64%
Weekly Downside probability 64%Bearish

TSLA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $401.33 and stabilize above resistance $498.83.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $498.83 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.6, MACD -0.615

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.17 (9.66%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$399.4Bearish
EMA 21$401.33Bearish
EMA 50$391.37Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD -0.615

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $38.17 · BB 23.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.0 · OBV -2.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$337.24 - $498.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.86% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$537
Nearest resistance

+26.2% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$498.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.26
Nearest support

-14.68% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$337.24
Deeper support zone

-24.33% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$299.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$357.09 - $433.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $432.86, invalidation $368.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 24.2 / 16.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$293.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.21 / $398.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.17 (9.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.36%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$472.12 / $330.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$357.09 / $433.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$337.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.615Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.5 / 51.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

55.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $432.86, invalidation $368.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.1 / 24.2 / 16.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$293.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.21 / $398.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.615Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.5 / 51.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.17 (9.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.36%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$472.12 / $330.42Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$357.09 / $433.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

55.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$337.24Range

Related Forecasts