US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthRange52%
Monthly Range probability 96%Range

TSLA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $138.8 - $498.83 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -12.849

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $70.06 (22.25%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$369.86Bearish
EMA 21$357.77Bearish
EMA 50$302.24Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -12.849

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $70.06 · BB 67.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.4 · OBV -2.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$138.8 - $498.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+80.67% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$568.89
Nearest resistance

+58.42% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$498.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$314.88
Nearest support

-55.92% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$138.8
Deeper support zone

-78.17% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$68.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$244.82 - $384.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $453.4, invalidation $337.24

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 20.6 / 19.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$369.26 / $300.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$70.06 (22.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.04%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$497.65 / $221.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$244.82 / $384.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.849Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 31.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $453.4, invalidation $337.24

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 20.6 / 19.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$369.26 / $300.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.849Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 31.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$70.06 (22.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.04%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$497.65 / $221.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$244.82 / $384.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.01xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$498.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.8Range

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