US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

TSLA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $386.9 and stabilize above resistance $414.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $414.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.2, MACD -1.179

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.38 (1.16%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$380.13Bearish
EMA 21$386.9Bearish
EMA 50$393.43Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.2 · MACD -1.179

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.38 · BB 12.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 32.2 · OBV -21.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$373.68 - $414.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.15% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

$419.01
Nearest resistance

+9.99% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$414.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$376.98
Nearest support

-0.88% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$373.68
Deeper support zone

-2.04% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$369.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$372.6 - $381.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.09, invalidation $384.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 2.7 / 59.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$365.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.95 / $394.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.38 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.69%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$393.26 / $379.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$372.6 / $381.36Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$414.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.68Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.179Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.8 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.09, invalidation $384.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 2.7 / 59.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$365.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.95 / $394.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.179Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.8 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.38 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.69%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$393.26 / $379.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$372.6 / $381.36Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$414.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$373.68Range

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