US stock / ETF

Tesla

TSLA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish66%
1h Downside probability 66%Bearish

TSLA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $397.04 and stabilize above resistance $409.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $409.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.9, MACD 0.332

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.5 (0.63%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$396.45Bearish
EMA 21$397.04Bearish
EMA 50$399.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD 0.332

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.5 · BB 2.08%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 47.0 · OBV -1.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$391.37 - $409.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.3% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$412.27
Nearest resistance

+3.67% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$409.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.26
Nearest support

-0.98% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$391.37
Deeper support zone

-1.62% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$388.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$392.76 - $397.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.22, invalidation $394.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.3 / 35.1 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$387.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$398.59 / $401.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.08%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$402.63 / $391.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$392.76 / $397.76Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$409.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$391.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.332Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 37.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

1.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.22, invalidation $394.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.3 / 35.1 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$387.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$398.59 / $401.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.332Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.3 / 37.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

1.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.08%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$402.63 / $391.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$392.76 / $397.76Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$409.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$391.37Range

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