US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish71%
4h Upside probability 71%Bullish

TRV 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $358.67 and reclaim $372.79.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $358.67 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.9, MACD 0.258

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.45 (0.93%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$369.33Bullish
EMA 21$368.63Bullish
EMA 50$369.42Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.9 · MACD 0.258

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.45 · BB 3.03%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV -29.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$358.67 - $372.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.8% · 1.9 ATR above latest close

$376.24
Nearest resistance

+0.87% · 0.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$372.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$369.58
Nearest support

-2.95% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$358.67
Deeper support zone

-3.88% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$355.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$366.13 - $373.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $372.79, invalidation $365.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 14.0 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$362.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$367.43 / $368.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.45 (0.93%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.03%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$374.14 / $363.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$366.13 / $373.02Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$372.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$358.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.258Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.0 / 64.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

69.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $372.79, invalidation $365.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 14.0 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$362.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$367.43 / $368.46Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.258Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.0 / 64.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

69.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.45 (0.93%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.03%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$374.14 / $363.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$366.13 / $373.02Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$372.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$358.67Range

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