US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $325.39 and reclaim $369.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $325.39 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 79.0, MACD 3.849

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $7.21 (1.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$352.76Bullish
EMA 21$343.83Bullish
EMA 50$336.79Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 79.0 · MACD 3.849

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $7.21 · BB 13.76%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 69.7 · OBV 24.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$325.39 - $369.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2% · 1.0 ATR above latest close

$376.86
Nearest resistance

+0.05% · 0.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$369.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$369.47
Nearest support

-11.93% · 6.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$325.39
Deeper support zone

-13.88% · 7.1 ATR below latest close

$318.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$362.26 - $376.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $342.47, invalidation $334

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 39.3 / 12.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$342.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$348.42 / $346.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.21 (1.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.76%

111%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.93 / $326.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$362.26 / $376.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$369.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$325.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.849Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.6 / 97.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

264.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $342.47, invalidation $334

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.4 / 39.3 / 12.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$342.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$348.42 / $346.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.849Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.6 / 97.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

264.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.21 (1.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.76%

111%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$361.93 / $326.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$362.26 / $376.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$369.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$325.39Range

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