US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $289.05 and reclaim $325.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $289.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 69.6, MACD 1.161

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.28 (1.32%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$320.38Bullish
EMA 21$313.85Bullish
EMA 50$307.68Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 69.6 · MACD 1.161

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.28 · BB 9.29%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 80.6 · OBV 62.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$289.05 - $325.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.54% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$330.15
Nearest resistance

+0.22% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$325.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$325.14
Nearest support

-11.1% · 8.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$289.05
Deeper support zone

-12.42% · 9.4 ATR below latest close

$284.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$320.86 - $329.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $325.87, invalidation $318.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 36.3 / 12.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$312.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$314.73 / $306.6Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.28 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.29%

93%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$322.72 / $305.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$320.86 / $329.42Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$325.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$289.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

69.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.161Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.0 / 86.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-3.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

133.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

80.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

62.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $325.87, invalidation $318.5

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 36.3 / 12.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$312.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$314.73 / $306.6Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

69.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.161Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.0 / 86.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-3.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

133.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.28 (1.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.29%

93%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$322.72 / $305.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$320.86 / $329.42Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

80.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

62.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$325.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$289.05Range

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