US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $359.87 and reclaim $383.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $359.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.3, MACD 0.163

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.59 (0.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$377.54Bullish
EMA 21$374.9Bullish
EMA 50$372.03Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.3 · MACD 0.163

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.59 · BB 4.80%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 79.5 · OBV 21.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$359.87 - $383.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.51% · 2.6 ATR above latest close

$387.58
Nearest resistance

+1.56% · 1.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$383.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$378.08
Nearest support

-4.82% · 5.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$359.87
Deeper support zone

-5.77% · 6.1 ATR below latest close

$356.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$374.49 - $381.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.54, invalidation $375.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.7 / 42.5 / 5.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$370.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$375.54 / $371.93Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.59 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.80%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$381.09 / $369.07Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$374.49 / $381.67Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$359.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.163Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.5 / 57.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

21.04%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.54, invalidation $375.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.7 / 42.5 / 5.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$370.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$375.54 / $371.93Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.163Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.5 / 57.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

70.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.59 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.80%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$381.09 / $369.07Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$374.49 / $381.67Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

21.04%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$359.87Range

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