US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish69%
3M Upside probability 69%Bullish

TRV 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $76.99 and reclaim $370.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $76.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 79.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.74 (10.23%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$297.03Bullish
EMA 21$235.67Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 79.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $37.74 · BB 107.10%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 84.0 · OBV 718.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$76.99 - $370.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.62% · 1.0 ATR above latest close

$408.16
Nearest resistance

+0.39% · 0.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$370.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$368.98
Nearest support

-79.13% · 7.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$76.99
Deeper support zone

-89.36% · 8.7 ATR below latest close

$39.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$331.24 - $406.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

74.8 / 37.2 / 1.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$222.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$256.59 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.74 (10.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.10%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$323.43 / $156.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$331.24 / $406.72Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$370.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.3 / 94.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

179.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

84.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

718.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

74.8 / 37.2 / 1.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$222.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$256.59 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.3 / 94.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

179.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.74 (10.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.10%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$323.43 / $156.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$331.24 / $406.72Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

84.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

718.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$370.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

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