US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish65%
3M Upside probability 65%Bullish

TRV 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $76.99 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $76.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 79.4, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.76 (10.76%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$297.16Bullish
EMA 21$235.72Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 79.4 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $39.76 · BB 107.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 84.9 · OBV 761.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$76.99 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.64% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$438.45
Nearest resistance

+7.88% · 0.7 ATR above · 29-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$369.58
Nearest support

-79.17% · 7.4 ATR below · 29-bar low

$76.99
Deeper support zone

-89.93% · 8.4 ATR below latest close

$37.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$329.82 - $409.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

74.9 / 40.4 / 1.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$270.72 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.76 (10.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.21%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$329.14 / $150.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$329.82 / $409.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.9 / 90.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

190.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

84.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

761.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

74.9 / 40.4 / 1.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$270.72 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

79.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.9 / 90.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

190.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.76 (10.76%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.21%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$329.14 / $150.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$329.82 / $409.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

84.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

761.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

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