US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish67%
3M Upside probability 67%Bullish

TRV 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $105.76 and reclaim $327.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $105.76 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 81.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $35.73 (10.91%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$275.8Bullish
EMA 21$217.63Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 81.2 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $35.73 · BB 98.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 75.6 · OBV 338.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$105.76 - $327.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.94% · 1.0 ATR above latest close

$363.28
Nearest resistance

+0.03% · 0.0 ATR above · 24-bar high

$327.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$327.46
Nearest support

-67.7% · 6.2 ATR below · 24-bar low

$105.76
Deeper support zone

-78.61% · 7.2 ATR below latest close

$70.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$291.72 - $363.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $200.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$187.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.73 (10.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.50%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$301.91 / $142.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$291.72 / $363.19Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

81.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.9 / 94.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

153.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

338.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $200.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$187.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

81.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.9 / 94.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

153.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$35.73 (10.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.50%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$301.91 / $142.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$291.72 / $363.19Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

338.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.76Range

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