US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish65%
3M Upside probability 65%Bullish

TRV 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $76.99 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $76.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 78.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.17 (10.86%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$309Bullish
EMA 21$245.99Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 78.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $39.17 · BB 107.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 88.8 · OBV 325.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$76.99 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.42% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$437.86
Nearest resistance

+10.56% · 1.0 ATR above · 30-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$360.61
Nearest support

-78.65% · 7.2 ATR below · 30-bar low

$76.99
Deeper support zone

-89.51% · 8.2 ATR below latest close

$37.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$321.44 - $399.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $194.51, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

80.4 / 41.0 / 1.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$231.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.92 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.17 (10.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.83%

98%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$335.11 / $165.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$321.44 / $399.78Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

78.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.2 / 88.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

157.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

88.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

325.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $194.51, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

80.4 / 41.0 / 1.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$231.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.92 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

78.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.2 / 88.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

157.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.17 (10.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 107.83%

98%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$335.11 / $165.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$321.44 / $399.78Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

88.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

325.07%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

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