US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish65%
3M Upside probability 65%Bullish

TRV 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $76.99 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $76.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 80.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.76 (10.51%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$299.06Bullish
EMA 21$236.5Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 80.0 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $39.76 · BB 108.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 85.2 · OBV 775.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$76.99 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.95% · 1.5 ATR above latest close

$438.45
Nearest resistance

+5.44% · 0.5 ATR above · 29-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$378.13
Nearest support

-79.64% · 7.6 ATR below · 29-bar low

$76.99
Deeper support zone

-90.15% · 8.6 ATR below latest close

$37.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$338.37 - $417.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

74.9 / 40.4 / 1.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$270.72 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.76 (10.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.79%

111%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$329.96 / $151.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$338.37 / $417.88Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

80.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

91.5 / 92.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-8.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

193.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

85.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

775.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.56, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

74.9 / 40.4 / 1.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$270.72 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

80.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

91.5 / 92.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-8.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

193.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.76 (10.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 108.79%

111%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$329.96 / $151.55Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$338.37 / $417.88Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

85.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

775.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

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