US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish69%
3M Upside probability 69%Bullish

TRV 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $76.99 and reclaim $407.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $76.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 81.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $42.28 (10.73%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$316.43Bullish
EMA 21$249.03Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 81.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $42.28 · BB 113.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 89.7 · OBV 334.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$76.99 - $407.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.25% · 1.3 ATR above latest close

$450.14
Nearest resistance

+3.52% · 0.3 ATR above · 30-bar high

$407.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$394.01
Nearest support

-80.46% · 7.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$76.99
Deeper support zone

-91.19% · 8.5 ATR below latest close

$34.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$351.73 - $436.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $194.51, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

80.4 / 39.6 / 1.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$240.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$286.51 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$42.28 (10.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 113.02%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$347 / $159.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$351.73 / $436.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$407.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

81.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.5 / 91.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

183.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

89.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

334.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $194.51, invalidation $157.33

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

80.4 / 39.6 / 1.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$240.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$286.51 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

95%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

81.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.5 / 91.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

183.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$42.28 (10.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 113.02%

108%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$347 / $159.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$351.73 / $436.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

89.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

334.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$407.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$76.99Range

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