US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish92%
12h Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $301.65 and reclaim $369.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $301.65 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 75.0, MACD 0.806

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.72 (2.36%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$344.28Bullish
EMA 21$336.99Bullish
EMA 50$325.42Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 75.0 · MACD 0.806

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $8.72 · BB 9.11%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 69.4 · OBV 10.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$301.65 - $369.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.41% · 1.0 ATR above latest close

$378.37
Nearest resistance

+0.05% · 0.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$369.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$369.47
Nearest support

-18.36% · 7.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$301.65
Deeper support zone

-20.72% · 8.8 ATR below latest close

$292.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$360.75 - $378.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $325.39, invalidation $342.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.2 / 40.7 / 11.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$320.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$345.28 / $328.38Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.72 (2.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.11%

148%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.55 / $316.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.75 / $378.19Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$369.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$301.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

75.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.806Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.6 / 72.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

364.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.33xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $325.39, invalidation $342.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.2 / 40.7 / 11.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$320.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$345.28 / $328.38Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

75.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.806Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.6 / 72.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

364.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.72 (2.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.11%

148%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.55 / $316.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.75 / $378.19Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.33xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$369.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$301.65Range

Related Forecasts