US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish82%
Weekly Upside probability 82%Bullish

TRV 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $268 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $268 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 73.9, MACD 7.850

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $18.47 (4.81%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$358.14Bullish
EMA 21$330.23Bullish
EMA 50$305.03Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 73.9 · MACD 7.850

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $18.47 · BB 40.13%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 78.8 · OBV 80.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$268 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.55% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$417.17
Nearest resistance

+3.74% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$384.31
Nearest support

-30.26% · 6.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$268
Deeper support zone

-35.07% · 7.3 ATR below latest close

$249.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$365.84 - $402.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.88, invalidation $325.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 39.5 / 8.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$315.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$344.66 / $325.48Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.47 (4.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.13%

99%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$373.37 / $289.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$365.84 / $402.78Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$268Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.850Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.1 / 87.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

157.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

80.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.88, invalidation $325.39

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 39.5 / 8.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$315.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$344.66 / $325.48Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.850Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.1 / 87.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

157.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.47 (4.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.13%

99%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$373.37 / $289.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$365.84 / $402.78Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

80.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$268Range

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