US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $277.99 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $277.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 67.4, MACD 1.449

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $18.42 (4.87%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$369.57Bullish
EMA 21$348.32Bullish
EMA 50$319.19Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 67.4 · MACD 1.449

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $18.42 · BB 39.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 79.7 · OBV 39.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$277.99 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.2% · 2.1 ATR above latest close

$417.12
Nearest resistance

+5.33% · 1.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$378.52
Nearest support

-26.56% · 5.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$277.99
Deeper support zone

-31.43% · 6.5 ATR below latest close

$259.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$360.1 - $396.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.7, invalidation $358.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.8 / 40.8 / 5.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$321.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$360.23 / $325.48Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.42 (4.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.20%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$388.52 / $311Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.1 / $396.94Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$277.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.449Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.7 / 76.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.7, invalidation $358.88

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.8 / 40.8 / 5.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$321.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$360.23 / $325.48Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.449Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.7 / 76.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.42 (4.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.20%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$388.52 / $311Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.1 / $396.94Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$277.99Range

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