US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $264.46 and reclaim $327.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $264.46 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.1, MACD 1.221

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $12.47 (3.81%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$308.01Bullish
EMA 21$300.62Bullish
EMA 50$288.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.1 · MACD 1.221

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.47 · BB 10.98%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 76.7 · OBV 23.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$264.46 - $327.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.84% · 1.0 ATR above latest close

$340.02
Nearest resistance

+0.03% · 0.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$327.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$327.46
Nearest support

-19.24% · 5.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$264.46
Deeper support zone

-23.05% · 6.1 ATR below latest close

$251.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$314.99 - $339.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.71, invalidation $287.33

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 28.4 / 18.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$280.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$302.64 / $288.37Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$12.47 (3.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.98%

127%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$326.06 / $276.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$314.99 / $339.92Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$264.46Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.221Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.8 / 86.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

282.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.71, invalidation $287.33

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 28.4 / 18.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$280.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$302.64 / $288.37Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.221Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.8 / 86.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

282.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$12.47 (3.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.98%

127%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$326.06 / $276.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$314.99 / $339.92Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.44xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$264.46Range

Related Forecasts