US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $268 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $268 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.0, MACD 3.572

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.05 (5.16%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$363.26Bullish
EMA 21$339.58Bullish
EMA 50$312.13Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.0 · MACD 3.572

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $19.05 · BB 40.10%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 75.7 · OBV 48.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$268 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.04% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$417.75
Nearest resistance

+7.88% · 1.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$369.58
Nearest support

-27.48% · 5.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$268
Deeper support zone

-32.64% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$248.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$350.52 - $388.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.7, invalidation $325.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.5 / 36.3 / 9.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$306.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$351.86 / $325.48Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.05 (5.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.10%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$382.67 / $299.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$350.52 / $388.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$268Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.572Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.9 / 72.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

84.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

48.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.7, invalidation $325.39

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.5 / 36.3 / 9.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$306.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$351.86 / $325.48Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.572Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.9 / 72.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

84.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.05 (5.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.10%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$382.67 / $299.35Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$350.52 / $388.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

48.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$268Range

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