US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $189.87 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $189.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 69.0, MACD 5.247

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $28.94 (8.02%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$340.09Bullish
EMA 21$303.7Bullish
EMA 50$254.19Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 69.0 · MACD 5.247

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $28.94 · BB 48.62%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 63.1 · OBV -6.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$189.87 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.59% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$427.63
Nearest resistance

+10.56% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$360.61
Nearest support

-47.35% · 5.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$189.87
Deeper support zone

-55.37% · 6.9 ATR below latest close

$160.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$331.67 - $389.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.7, invalidation $287.11

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 29.7 / 7.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$266.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$326.32 / $274.17Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.94 (8.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.62%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$367.44 / $244.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$331.67 / $389.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

69.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.247Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.0 / 75.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

138.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.7, invalidation $287.11

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 29.7 / 7.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$266.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$326.32 / $274.17Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

69.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

5.247Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.0 / 75.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

138.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.94 (8.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 48.62%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$367.44 / $244.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$331.67 / $389.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.87Range

Related Forecasts