US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $157.43 and reclaim $327.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $157.43 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 67.8, MACD 1.156

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.42 (7.15%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$298.97Bullish
EMA 21$275.23Bullish
EMA 50$233.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 67.8 · MACD 1.156

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $23.42 · BB 30.27%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.2 · OBV 3.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$157.43 - $327.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.18% · 1.0 ATR above latest close

$350.97
Nearest resistance

+0.03% · 0.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$327.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$327.46
Nearest support

-51.92% · 7.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$157.43
Deeper support zone

-59.07% · 8.3 ATR below latest close

$134.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$304.04 - $350.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $313.02, invalidation $255.98

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 21.7 / 10.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$232.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$277.93 / $238.6Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.42 (7.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.27%

109%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$327.06 / $226.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$304.04 / $350.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.156Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.9 / 88.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

155.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $313.02, invalidation $255.98

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 21.7 / 10.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$232.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$277.93 / $238.6Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

100%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.156Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

99.9 / 88.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-0.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

155.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.42 (7.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.27%

109%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$327.06 / $226.82Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$304.04 / $350.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.43Range

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