US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $165.84 and reclaim $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $165.84 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 72.9, MACD 6.361

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $29.28 (7.92%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$328.05Bullish
EMA 21$292.23Bullish
EMA 50$245.53Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 72.9 · MACD 6.361

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $29.28 · BB 46.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 66.4 · OBV 5.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$165.84 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.8% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$427.98
Nearest resistance

+7.88% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$369.58
Nearest support

-55.13% · 7.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$165.84
Deeper support zone

-63.05% · 8.0 ATR below latest close

$136.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$340.29 - $398.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $313.12, invalidation $287.11

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 31.8 / 8.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$276.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$316.45 / $274.17Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.28 (7.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.32%

110%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.28 / $230.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$340.29 / $398.86Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$165.84Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.361Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.5 / 86.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

229.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $313.12, invalidation $287.11

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 31.8 / 8.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$276.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$316.45 / $274.17Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.361Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.5 / 86.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

229.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$29.28 (7.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 46.32%

110%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.28 / $230.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$340.29 / $398.86Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$165.84Range

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