US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

TRV 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $157.33 and reclaim $370.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $157.33 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 73.9, MACD 4.569

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $26.64 (7.22%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$314.99Bullish
EMA 21$284.01Bullish
EMA 50$240.25Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 73.9 · MACD 4.569

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $26.64 · BB 40.88%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.3 · OBV 11.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$157.33 - $370.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.61% · 1.1 ATR above latest close

$397.07
Nearest resistance

+0.39% · 0.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$370.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$368.98
Nearest support

-57.36% · 7.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$157.33
Deeper support zone

-64.58% · 8.9 ATR below latest close

$130.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$342.34 - $395.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $313.12, invalidation $252.26

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 27.4 / 9.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$258.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$301.33 / $260.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26.64 (7.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.88%

124%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$345.8 / $226.12Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$342.34 / $395.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$370.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.569Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.8 / 89.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

243.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $313.12, invalidation $252.26

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 27.4 / 9.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$258.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$301.33 / $260.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.569Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.8 / 89.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

243.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26.64 (7.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.88%

124%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$345.8 / $226.12Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$342.34 / $395.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$370.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.33Range

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