US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish86%
Daily Downside probability 86%Bearish

TRV 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $364.73 and stabilize above resistance $383.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $383.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.9, MACD -0.786

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $6.09 (1.69%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$361.46Bearish
EMA 21$364.73Bearish
EMA 50$363.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD -0.786

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.09 · BB 8.56%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -0.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$353.79 - $383.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.17% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$390.08
Nearest resistance

+6.48% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$383.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$360.61
Nearest support

-1.89% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$353.79
Deeper support zone

-3.58% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$347.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$354.52 - $366.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $353.79, invalidation $382.97

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.9 / 3.8 / 37.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$343.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$363.97 / $376.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.09 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.56%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$375.04 / $354.08Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$354.52 / $366.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$353.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.786Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.4 / 25.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $353.79, invalidation $382.97

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.9 / 3.8 / 37.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$343.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$363.97 / $376.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.786Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.4 / 25.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.09 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.56%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$375.04 / $354.08Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$354.52 / $366.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$353.79Range

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