US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish65%
Daily Downside probability 65%Bearish

TRV 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $368.97 and stabilize above resistance $398.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $398.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.6, MACD -1.661

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.63 (1.52%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$368.92Bullish
EMA 21$368.97Bullish
EMA 50$357.02Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.6 · MACD -1.661

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.63 · BB 7.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.7 · OBV -3.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$325.39 - $398.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.47% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$404.32
Nearest resistance

+7.95% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$398.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$369.33
Nearest support

-11.9% · 7.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$325.39
Deeper support zone

-13.42% · 8.8 ATR below latest close

$319.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$363.7 - $374.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $358.88, invalidation $373.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.0 / 10.9 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$353.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$372.5 / $350.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.63 (1.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$379.76 / $358.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.7 / $374.96Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$325.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.661Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.4 / 47.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $358.88, invalidation $373.55

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.0 / 10.9 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$353.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$372.5 / $350.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.661Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.4 / 47.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-41.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.63 (1.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$379.76 / $358.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.7 / $374.96Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$398.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$325.39Range

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