US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish55%
1h Downside probability 55%Bearish

TRV 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $378.2 and stabilize above resistance $383.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $383.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.1, MACD -0.266

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.25 (0.59%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$378.77Bearish
EMA 21$378.2Bearish
EMA 50$375.85Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.1 · MACD -0.266

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.25 · BB 1.38%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 79.1 · OBV 12.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$375 - $383.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.16% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$386.24
Nearest resistance

+1.56% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$383.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$378.08
Nearest support

-0.81% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$375
Deeper support zone

-1.41% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$372.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$375.83 - $380.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $382.97, invalidation $375.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 15.8 / 34.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$369.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$379.16 / $374.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.25 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.38%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$383.52 / $373.02Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$375.83 / $380.33Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$375Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.9 / 42.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $382.97, invalidation $375.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.5 / 15.8 / 34.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$369.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$379.16 / $374.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.266Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.9 / 42.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.25 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.38%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$383.52 / $373.02Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$375.83 / $380.33Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$375Range

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