US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish56%
1h Downside probability 56%Bearish

TRV 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $361.08 and stabilize above resistance $364.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $364.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.6, MACD 0.110

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.59 (0.44%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$361.53Bearish
EMA 21$361.08Bearish
EMA 50$360.84Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD 0.110

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.59 · BB 1.39%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 49.7 · OBV -0.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$355 - $364.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.47% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$365.91
Nearest resistance

+1.03% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$364.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$360.61
Nearest support

-1.56% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$355
Deeper support zone

-2% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$353.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$359.02 - $362.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $364.32, invalidation $355

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 20.2 / 37.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$354.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$359.66 / $359.82Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

60%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.59 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.39%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$364.85 / $357.36Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$359.02 / $362.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$364.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.110Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.2 / 71.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.45xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $364.32, invalidation $355

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 20.2 / 37.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$354.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$359.66 / $359.82Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

60%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.110Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.2 / 71.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.59 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.39%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$364.85 / $357.36Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$359.02 / $362.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.45xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$364.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355Range

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