US stock / ETF

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRV · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish75%
1h Downside probability 75%Bearish

TRV 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $397.09 and stabilize above resistance $403.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $403.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD -0.177

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.95 (0.49%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$396.03Bearish
EMA 21$397.09Bearish
EMA 50$397.23Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD -0.177

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.95 · BB 2.17%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 67.9 · OBV 12.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$390.08 - $403.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.63% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$405.42
Nearest resistance

+2.14% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$403.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$395.03
Nearest support

-1.25% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$390.08
Deeper support zone

-1.75% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$388.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$393.08 - $396.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $399.34, invalidation $395.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 16.4 / 40.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$386.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$395.74 / $398.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.95 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.17%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$401.13 / $392.93Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$393.08 / $396.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$403.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$390.08Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.177Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.4 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $399.34, invalidation $395.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 16.4 / 40.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$386.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$395.74 / $398.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.177Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.4 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.95 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.17%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$401.13 / $392.93Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$393.08 / $396.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$403.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$390.08Range

Related Forecasts