US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

SPY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $758.79 and reclaim $774.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $758.79 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.6, MACD 0.477

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.77 (0.49%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$767.31Bullish
EMA 21$766.67Bullish
EMA 50$766.3Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.6 · MACD 0.477

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.77 · BB 1.06%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 60.8 · OBV 7.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$758.79 - $774.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.15% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$778.49
Nearest resistance

+0.66% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$774.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.67
Nearest support

-1.41% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$758.79
Deeper support zone

-1.9% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$755.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$765.9 - $773.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $772.35, invalidation $758.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 25.3 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$758.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$765.61 / $762.31Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.77 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.06%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$774.54 / $758.82Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$765.9 / $773.44Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$774.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$758.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.477Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.2 / 74.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

153.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $772.35, invalidation $758.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 25.3 / 16.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$758.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$765.61 / $762.31Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.477Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.2 / 74.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

153.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.77 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.06%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$774.54 / $758.82Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$765.9 / $773.44Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$774.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$758.79Range

Related Forecasts