US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

12 hoursBearish73%
12h Downside probability 73%Bearish

SPY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $765.15 and stabilize above resistance $775.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $775.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.3, MACD -0.581

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.45 (0.58%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$763.39Bullish
EMA 21$765.15Bearish
EMA 50$764.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD -0.581

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.45 · BB 2.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.9 · OBV -71.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$756.64 - $775.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.01% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$779.75
Nearest resistance

+1.43% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$775.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$764.36
Nearest support

-1.01% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$756.64
Deeper support zone

-1.59% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$752.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$759.91 - $768.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $756.64, invalidation $774.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 27.9 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$750.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$765.67 / $767.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.45 (0.58%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.15%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$773.52 / $756.62Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$759.91 / $768.81Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$756.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.9 / 27.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $756.64, invalidation $774.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.1 / 27.9 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$750.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$765.67 / $767.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.581Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.9 / 27.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.45 (0.58%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.15%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$773.52 / $756.62Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$759.91 / $768.81Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-71.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$756.64Range

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