US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

12 hoursBullish91%
12h Upside probability 91%Bullish

SPY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $749.6 and reclaim $775.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $749.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.7, MACD -0.071

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.47 (0.71%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$767.08Bullish
EMA 21$766.75Bullish
EMA 50$765.8Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.7 · MACD -0.071

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.47 · BB 1.71%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 60.1 · OBV 7.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$749.6 - $775.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.41% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$780.49
Nearest resistance

+0.7% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$775.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.67
Nearest support

-2.61% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$749.6
Deeper support zone

-3.32% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$744.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$764.2 - $775.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $758.79, invalidation $769.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 19.2 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$753.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$763.94 / $762.45Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

67%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.47 (0.71%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.71%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$777.61 / $755.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$764.2 / $775.14Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.071Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.4 / 58.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

46.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.04xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $758.79, invalidation $769.15

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.7 / 19.2 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$753.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$763.94 / $762.45Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

67%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.071Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.4 / 58.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

46.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.47 (0.71%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.71%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$777.61 / $755.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$764.2 / $775.14Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.04xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

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