US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

12 hoursBearish72%
12h Downside probability 72%Bearish

SPY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $741.42 and stabilize above resistance $760.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $760.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD -2.343

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $12.17 (1.66%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$740.75Bearish
EMA 21$741.42Bearish
EMA 50$729.95Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD -2.343

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.17 · BB 5.27%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.4 · OBV 3.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$722.61 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.19% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$772.57
Nearest resistance

+3.53% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$734.47
Nearest support

-1.62% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$722.61
Deeper support zone

-3.27% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$710.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$722.3 - $746.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $756.68, invalidation $739.26

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 11.7 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$703.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$741.04 / $717.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.17 (1.66%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.27%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$762.74 / $720.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$722.3 / $746.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$722.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.343Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.2 / 40.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $756.68, invalidation $739.26

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.7 / 11.7 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$703.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$741.04 / $717.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.343Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.2 / 40.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.17 (1.66%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.27%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$762.74 / $720.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$722.3 / $746.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$722.61Range

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