US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

12 hoursBullish63%
12h Upside probability 63%Bullish

SPY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $727.41 and reclaim $775.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $727.41 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.8, MACD 1.790

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $9.92 (1.31%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$753.65Bullish
EMA 21$754.13Bullish
EMA 50$759.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.8 · MACD 1.790

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $9.92 · BB 5.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 59.0 · OBV -1.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$727.41 - $775.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.76% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$785.67
Nearest resistance

+2.45% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$775.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.2
Nearest support

-3.93% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$727.41
Deeper support zone

-5.24% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$717.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$747.28 - $767.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $727.41, invalidation $755.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 34.2 / 31.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$737.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$750.06 / $754.23Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$9.92 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.55%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$767.84 / $740.03Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$747.28 / $767.12Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$727.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.790Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.8 / 60.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

50.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $727.41, invalidation $755.42

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 34.2 / 31.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$737.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$750.06 / $754.23Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.790Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.8 / 60.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

50.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$9.92 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.55%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$767.84 / $740.03Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$747.28 / $767.12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$727.41Range

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