US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

12 hoursBearish67%
12h Downside probability 67%Bearish

SPY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $774.21 and stabilize above resistance $781.52.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $781.52 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.1, MACD -0.547

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.26 (0.55%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$775.66Bearish
EMA 21$774.21Bearish
EMA 50$770.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.1 · MACD -0.547

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.26 · BB 2.45%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.9 · OBV 22.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$758.79 - $781.52

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.17% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$785.78
Nearest resistance

+1.61% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$781.52
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.13
Nearest support

-1.34% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$758.79
Deeper support zone

-1.9% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$754.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$764.87 - $773.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $781.05, invalidation $771.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.7 / 17.2 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$760.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$772.02 / $765.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.26 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.45%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$783.03 / $765.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$764.87 / $773.39Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$758.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.547Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 56.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.69xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $781.05, invalidation $771.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.7 / 17.2 / 32.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$760.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$772.02 / $765.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.547Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 56.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.26 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.45%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$783.03 / $765.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$764.87 / $773.39Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.69xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$758.79Range

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