US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

12 hoursBearish65%
12h Downside probability 65%Bearish

SPY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $767.97 and stabilize above resistance $779.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $779.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.6, MACD -1.953

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.88 (0.51%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$767.26Bearish
EMA 21$767.97Bearish
EMA 50$762.05Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD -1.953

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.88 · BB 2.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV -15.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$729.88 - $779.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.33% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$783.13
Nearest resistance

+1.82% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$779.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$765.29
Nearest support

-4.63% · 9.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$729.88
Deeper support zone

-5.13% · 10.1 ATR below latest close

$726
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$761.41 - $769.17

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $761.99, invalidation $772.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 18.0 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$753.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$770.14 / $752.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.88 (0.51%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.25%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$776.51 / $759.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$761.41 / $769.17Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$729.88Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.953Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.1 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $761.99, invalidation $772.47

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 18.0 / 33.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$753.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$770.14 / $752.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.953Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.1 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.88 (0.51%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.25%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$776.51 / $759.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$761.41 / $769.17Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$729.88Range

Related Forecasts