US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

3 monthsRange51%
3M Range probability 98%Range

SPY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $69.01 - $760.4 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $101.81 (13.55%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$663.76Bullish
EMA 21$548.53Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $101.81 · BB 89.30%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 75.9 · OBV 75.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.72% · 1.1 ATR above latest close

$862.21
Nearest resistance

+1.17% · 0.1 ATR above · 29-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$751.6
Nearest support

-90.82% · 6.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-104.36% · 7.7 ATR below latest close

-$32.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$649.79 - $853.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $69.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 22.9 / 46.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$381.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$414.7 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$101.81 (13.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 89.30%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$801.38 / $312.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$649.79 / $853.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.7 / 96.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

163.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

75.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $69.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 22.9 / 46.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$381.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$414.7 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.7 / 96.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

163.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$101.81 (13.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 89.30%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$801.38 / $312.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$649.79 / $853.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

75.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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