US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

3 monthsRange51%
3M Range probability 98%Range

SPY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $69.01 - $760.4 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $102.78 (13.68%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$663.68Bullish
EMA 21$548.49Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.6 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $102.78 · BB 89.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 76.2 · OBV 77.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.9% · 1.1 ATR above latest close

$863.18
Nearest resistance

+1.22% · 0.1 ATR above · 29-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$751.25
Nearest support

-90.81% · 6.6 ATR below · 29-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-104.5% · 7.6 ATR below latest close

-$33.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$648.47 - $854.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $69.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 22.6 / 46.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$373.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$414.7 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$102.78 (13.68%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 89.28%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$804.06 / $310.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$648.47 / $854.03Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.7 / 96.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

162.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

77.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $69.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 22.6 / 46.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$373.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$414.7 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.7 / 96.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

162.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$102.78 (13.68%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 89.28%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$804.06 / $310.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$648.47 / $854.03Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

77.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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