US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

3 monthsRange47%
3M Range probability 94%Range

SPY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $69.01 - $781.62 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $104.86 (13.85%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$686.41Bullish
EMA 21$568.4Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $104.86 · BB 93.71%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 76.1 · OBV 136.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $781.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.09% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$886.48
Nearest resistance

+3.24% · 0.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$781.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.12
Nearest support

-90.89% · 6.6 ATR below · 30-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-104.74% · 7.6 ATR below latest close

-$35.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$652.26 - $861.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $69.01

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 21.9 / 45.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$382.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$425.31 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$104.86 (13.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.71%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$826.74 / $327.56Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$652.26 / $861.98Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

96.6 / 97.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-3.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

143.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

136.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $69.01

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 21.9 / 45.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$382.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$425.31 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

96.6 / 97.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-3.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

143.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$104.86 (13.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.71%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$826.74 / $327.56Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$652.26 / $861.98Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

136.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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