US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

3 monthsRange51%
3M Range probability 98%Range

SPY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $69.01 - $779.37 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 77.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $102.36 (13.3%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$689.2Bullish
EMA 21$569.54Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 77.5 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $102.36 · BB 94.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 75.5 · OBV 142.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $779.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.56% · 1.1 ATR above latest close

$881.73
Nearest resistance

+1.26% · 0.1 ATR above · 30-bar high

$779.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.64
Nearest support

-91.03% · 6.8 ATR below · 30-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-104.33% · 7.8 ATR below latest close

-$33.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$667.28 - $872

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $69.01

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 22.2 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$401.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$424.19 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$102.36 (13.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 94.35%

92%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$820.92 / $335.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$667.28 / $872Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

77.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.6 / 98.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

148.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

142.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $69.01

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 22.2 / 46.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$401.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$424.19 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

77.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.6 / 98.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

148.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$102.36 (13.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 94.35%

92%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$820.92 / $335.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$667.28 / $872Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

142.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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