US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

3 monthsRange47%
3M Range probability 94%Range

SPY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $69.01 - $781.62 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 77.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $103 (13.52%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$687.43Bullish
EMA 21$568.82Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 77.0 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $103 · BB 93.94%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 75.7 · OBV 139.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $781.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.14% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$884.62
Nearest resistance

+2.62% · 0.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$781.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$761.7
Nearest support

-90.94% · 6.7 ATR below · 30-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-104.46% · 7.7 ATR below latest close

-$33.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$658.7 - $864.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $69.01

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 22.3 / 46.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$403.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$425.31 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$103 (13.52%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.94%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$821.96 / $333.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$658.7 / $864.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

77.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.2 / 97.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

149.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

139.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $69.01

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 22.3 / 46.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$403.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$425.31 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

97%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

77.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

97.2 / 97.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-2.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

149.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$103 (13.52%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 93.94%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$821.96 / $333.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$658.7 / $864.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

139.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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