US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

3 monthsBullish60%
3M Upside probability 60%Bullish

SPY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $319.64 and reclaim $760.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $319.64 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $63.5 (8.66%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$635.91Bullish
EMA 21$523.38Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.6 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $63.5 · BB 84.29%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 74.4 · OBV 172.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$319.64 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.31% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$823.9
Nearest resistance

+3.65% · 0.4 ATR above · 24-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$733.62
Nearest support

-56.43% · 6.5 ATR below · 24-bar low

$319.64
Deeper support zone

-65.08% · 7.5 ATR below latest close

$256.15
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$670.13 - $797.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $629.29

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$491.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$63.5 (8.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.29%

99%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$673.64 / $392.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$670.13 / $797.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$319.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.0 / 92.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

148.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

172.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $479.98, invalidation $629.29

unconfirmed · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$491.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.0 / 92.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

148.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$63.5 (8.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 84.29%

99%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$673.64 / $392.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$670.13 / $797.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

172.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$319.64Range

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