US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

SPY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $629.28 and reclaim $779.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $629.28 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.2, MACD -1.377

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $16.05 (2.09%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$765.63Bullish
EMA 21$750.34Bullish
EMA 50$715.37Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.2 · MACD -1.377

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $16.05 · BB 7.33%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.4 · OBV 9.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$629.28 - $779.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.35% · 1.6 ATR above latest close

$795.42
Nearest resistance

+1.26% · 0.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$779.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.64
Nearest support

-18.24% · 8.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$629.28
Deeper support zone

-20.32% · 9.7 ATR below latest close

$613.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$753.59 - $785.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $749.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 21.1 / 16.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$718.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$739.65 / $424.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.05 (2.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.33%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$783 / $720.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$753.59 / $785.69Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.377Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.6 / 79.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $749.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 21.1 / 16.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$718.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$739.65 / $424.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.377Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.6 / 79.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.05 (2.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.33%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$783 / $720.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$753.59 / $785.69Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.47%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.28Range

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