US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 weekBullish81%
Weekly Upside probability 81%Bullish

SPY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $629.28 and reclaim $781.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $629.28 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 60.2, MACD -1.552

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $15.16 (1.97%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$768.75Bullish
EMA 21$754.43Bullish
EMA 50$719.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.2 · MACD -1.552

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $15.16 · BB 7.80%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.3 · OBV 11.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$629.28 - $781.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.53% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$796.78
Nearest resistance

+1.56% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$781.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.6
Nearest support

-18.23% · 9.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$629.28
Deeper support zone

-20.2% · 10.3 ATR below latest close

$614.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$754.44 - $784.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $749.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 24.1 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$733.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$753.78 / $425.31Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$15.16 (1.97%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.80%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$782.27 / $729.06Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$754.44 / $784.76Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.552Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.1 / 84.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

79.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $749.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 24.1 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$733.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$753.78 / $425.31Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.552Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.1 / 84.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

79.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$15.16 (1.97%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.80%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$782.27 / $729.06Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$754.44 / $784.76Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.28Range

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