US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 weekBullish69%
Weekly Upside probability 69%Bullish

SPY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $629.28 and reclaim $781.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $629.28 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 53.5, MACD -4.949

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $17.67 (2.33%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$757.2Bearish
EMA 21$753.17Bullish
EMA 50$724.4Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.5 · MACD -4.949

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $17.67 · BB 6.50%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.0 · OBV -6.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$629.28 - $781.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.57% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$799.29
Nearest resistance

+3.24% · 1.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$781.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.12
Nearest support

-16.89% · 7.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$629.28
Deeper support zone

-19.22% · 8.2 ATR below latest close

$611.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$739.45 - $774.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $781.62, invalidation $749.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.5 / 9.3 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$693.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$753.13 / $425.31Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.67 (2.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.50%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$793.1 / $714.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$739.45 / $774.79Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.949Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.9 / 35.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $781.62, invalidation $749.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.5 / 9.3 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$693.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$753.13 / $425.31Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.949Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.9 / 35.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-42.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.67 (2.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.50%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$793.1 / $714.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$739.45 / $774.79Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.28Range

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