US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

SPY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $69.01 and reclaim $760.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $69.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.6, MACD 1.447

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $20.12 (2.68%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$742.92Bullish
EMA 21$722.43Bullish
EMA 50$688.25Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.6 · MACD 1.447

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $20.12 · BB 21.82%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 72.3 · OBV 24.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.85% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$780.52
Nearest resistance

+1.17% · 0.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$751.6
Nearest support

-90.82% · 33.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-93.5% · 34.9 ATR below latest close

$48.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$731.48 - $771.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $716.58

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.3 / 32.5 / 17.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$692.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$576.6 / $414.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.12 (2.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.82%

74%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$762.65 / $685.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$731.48 / $771.72Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.447Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

89.5 / 90.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-10.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

72.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.77%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $716.58

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.3 / 32.5 / 17.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$692.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$576.6 / $414.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.447Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

89.5 / 90.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-10.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.12 (2.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.82%

74%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$762.65 / $685.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$731.48 / $771.72Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

72.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.77%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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