US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

SPY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $629.29 and reclaim $760.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $629.29 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.3, MACD 2.619

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $21.98 (3%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$734.86Bearish
EMA 21$713.47Bullish
EMA 50$680.45Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.3 · MACD 2.619

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.98 · BB 20.92%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 68.4 · OBV 55.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$629.29 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.65% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$782.38
Nearest resistance

+3.65% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$733.62
Nearest support

-14.22% · 4.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$629.29
Deeper support zone

-17.22% · 5.7 ATR below latest close

$607.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$711.64 - $755.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $722.61

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.9 / 35.7 / 15.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$686.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$714.63 / $687.72Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$21.98 (3%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.92%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$751.3 / $678.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$711.64 / $755.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.619Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.6 / 85.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

71.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

55.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.4, invalidation $722.61

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.9 / 35.7 / 15.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$686.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$714.63 / $687.72Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.619Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.6 / 85.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

71.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$21.98 (3%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.92%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$751.3 / $678.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$711.64 / $755.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

55.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$629.29Range

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