US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 weekBullish87%
Weekly Upside probability 87%Bullish

SPY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $69.01 and reclaim $760.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $69.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.0, MACD -0.613

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $19.29 (2.57%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$744.08Bullish
EMA 21$727.76Bullish
EMA 50$694.48Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.0 · MACD -0.613

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $19.29 · BB 17.90%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 59.8 · OBV 71.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.79% · 1.5 ATR above latest close

$779.69
Nearest resistance

+1.22% · 0.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$751.25
Nearest support

-90.81% · 35.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-93.38% · 36.4 ATR below latest close

$49.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$731.96 - $770.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $755.58, invalidation $716.58

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 21.7 / 22.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$693.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$716.21 / $414.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$19.29 (2.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.90%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$768.92 / $689.15Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$731.96 / $770.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.613Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.9 / 72.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

73.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $755.58, invalidation $716.58

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 21.7 / 22.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$693.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$716.21 / $414.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.613Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.9 / 72.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

73.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$19.29 (2.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.90%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$768.92 / $689.15Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$731.96 / $770.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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