US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 weekBullish85%
Weekly Upside probability 85%Bullish

SPY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $69.01 and reclaim $779.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $69.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 61.4, MACD -0.262

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $18.43 (2.41%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$762.76Bullish
EMA 21$744.56Bullish
EMA 50$708.7Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.4 · MACD -0.262

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $18.43 · BB 8.06%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.3 · OBV 28.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$69.01 - $779.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.38% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$797.8
Nearest resistance

+1.97% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$779.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$764.29
Nearest support

-90.97% · 37.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-93.38% · 38.7 ATR below latest close

$50.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$745.86 - $782.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $729.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 17.7 / 23.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$715.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$729.28 / $424.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.43 (2.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.06%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$778.03 / $713.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$745.86 / $782.72Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.0 / 81.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

79.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $729.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 17.7 / 23.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$715.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$729.28 / $424.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.0 / 81.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

79.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.43 (2.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.06%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$778.03 / $713.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$745.86 / $782.72Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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