US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 hourRange48%
1h Range probability 96%Range

SPY 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $747.98 - $763.04 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.0, MACD -0.270

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.15 (0.28%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$758.05Bearish
EMA 21$757.39Bearish
EMA 50$754.95Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.0 · MACD -0.270

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.15 · BB 1.14%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.6 · OBV -1.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$747.98 - $763.04

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.06% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$765.19
Nearest resistance

+0.77% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$763.04
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.2
Nearest support

-1.22% · 4.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$747.98
Deeper support zone

-1.5% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

$745.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$755.05 - $759.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $763.04, invalidation $752.82

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.9 / 27.4 / 23.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$749.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$757.93 / $754.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.15 (0.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.14%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$762.54 / $752.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$755.05 / $759.35Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$763.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$747.98Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.270Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 45.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $763.04, invalidation $752.82

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.9 / 27.4 / 23.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$749.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$757.93 / $754.33Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.270Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 45.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.15 (0.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.14%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$762.54 / $752.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$755.05 / $759.35Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$763.04Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$747.98Range

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