US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 monthBullish73%
Monthly Upside probability 73%Bullish

SPY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $69.01 and reclaim $779.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $69.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 74.5, MACD 4.561

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $79.17 (10.34%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$725.95Bullish
EMA 21$667.33Bullish
EMA 50$575.55Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 74.5 · MACD 4.561

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $79.17 · BB 37.85%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 78.3 · OBV 19.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$69.01 - $779.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.12% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$858.54
Nearest resistance

+1.78% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$779.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$765.72
Nearest support

-90.99% · 8.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$69.01
Deeper support zone

-101.33% · 9.8 ATR below latest close

-$10.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$686.55 - $844.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $697.84, invalidation $69.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 16.1 / 55.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$468.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$424.19 / $424.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

98%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$79.17 (10.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.85%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$868.27 / $474.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$686.55 / $844.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

74.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.561Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.1 / 98.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

131.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $697.84, invalidation $69.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 16.1 / 55.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$468.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$424.19 / $424.19Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

98%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

74.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.561Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.1 / 98.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

131.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$79.17 (10.34%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.85%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$868.27 / $474.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$686.55 / $844.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$69.01Range

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