US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

SPY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $409.24 and reclaim $760.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $409.24 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 69.5, MACD 4.021

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $36.56 (4.98%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$702.3Bullish
EMA 21$647.24Bullish
EMA 50$560.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 69.5 · MACD 4.021

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $36.56 · BB 34.87%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 66.8 · OBV 19.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$409.24 - $760.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.63% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$796.96
Nearest resistance

+3.65% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$760.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$733.62
Nearest support

-44.22% · 8.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$409.24
Deeper support zone

-49.2% · 9.9 ATR below latest close

$372.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$697.06 - $770.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $697.83, invalidation $629.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 40.3 / 9.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$626.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$657.98 / $554.26Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$36.56 (4.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.87%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$727.41 / $574.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$697.06 / $770.18Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$409.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

69.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.021Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.9 / 95.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

135.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $697.83, invalidation $629.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 40.3 / 9.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$626.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$657.98 / $554.26Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

69.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.021Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.9 / 95.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

135.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$36.56 (4.98%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.87%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$727.41 / $574.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$697.06 / $770.18Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$760.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$409.24Range

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