US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 dayBullish65%
Daily Upside probability 65%Bullish

SPY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $716.58 and reclaim $758.58.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $716.58 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.1, MACD 0.573

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $8.77 (1.17%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$746.97Bullish
EMA 21$745.65Bullish
EMA 50$740.63Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.1 · MACD 0.573

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $8.77 · BB 3.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.6 · OBV 18.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$716.58 - $758.58

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.14% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$767.35
Nearest resistance

+0.98% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$758.58
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$751.25
Nearest support

-4.61% · 4.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$716.58
Deeper support zone

-5.78% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

$707.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$742.48 - $760.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $729.1, invalidation $745.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 17.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$721.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$743.84 / $738.49Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.77 (1.17%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$764.86 / $726.57Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$742.48 / $760.02Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$758.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$716.58Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.573Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

75.1 / 80.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

54.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $729.1, invalidation $745.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.4 / 17.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$721.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$743.84 / $738.49Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.573Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

75.1 / 80.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

54.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.77 (1.17%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$764.86 / $726.57Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$742.48 / $760.02Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$758.58Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$716.58Range

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