US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 dayBearish77%
Daily Downside probability 77%Bearish

SPY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $758.11 and stabilize above resistance $781.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $781.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.6, MACD 0.081

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $11.62 (1.53%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$754.26Bullish
EMA 21$758.11Bearish
EMA 50$761.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD 0.081

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.62 · BB 5.79%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.2 · OBV -63.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$732.71 - $781.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.77% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$793.24
Nearest resistance

+3.24% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$781.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.12
Nearest support

-3.22% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$732.71
Deeper support zone

-4.76% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$721.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$745.5 - $768.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $775.64, invalidation $732.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 30.2 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$720.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$755.12 / $757.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.62 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.79%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$782.93 / $732.73Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$745.5 / $768.74Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$732.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.081Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.9 / 59.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-14.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $775.64, invalidation $732.71

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 30.2 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$720.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$755.12 / $757.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.081Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.9 / 59.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-14.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.62 (1.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.79%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$782.93 / $732.73Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$745.5 / $768.74Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$732.71Range

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