US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 dayBearish70%
Daily Downside probability 70%Bearish

SPY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $765.06 and stabilize above resistance $779.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $779.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.1, MACD -1.264

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.35 (0.7%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$764.73Bearish
EMA 21$765.06Bearish
EMA 50$758.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.1 · MACD -1.264

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.35 · BB 2.14%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 63.6 · OBV -27.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$729.1 - $779.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.67% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$784.72
Nearest resistance

+1.97% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$779.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$764.29
Nearest support

-4.6% · 6.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$729.1
Deeper support zone

-5.3% · 7.6 ATR below latest close

$723.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$758.94 - $769.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $756.64, invalidation $774.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.3 / 35.1 / 28.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$748.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$766.67 / $754.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.35 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.14%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$776.04 / $754.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$758.94 / $769.64Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$729.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.264Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.0 / 29.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $756.64, invalidation $774.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.3 / 35.1 / 28.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$748.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$766.67 / $754.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.264Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.0 / 29.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.35 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.14%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$776.04 / $754.27Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$758.94 / $769.64Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$729.1Range

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