US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 dayBearish60%
Daily Downside probability 60%Bearish

SPY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $770.72 and stabilize above resistance $781.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $781.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.9, MACD -0.091

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $6.36 (0.83%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$773.03Bearish
EMA 21$770.72Bearish
EMA 50$765.55Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.9 · MACD -0.091

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.36 · BB 2.85%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.3 · OBV -10.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$749.6 - $781.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.39% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$787.98
Nearest resistance

+1.56% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$781.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.6
Nearest support

-2.6% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$749.6
Deeper support zone

-3.42% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$743.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$763.24 - $775.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.42, invalidation $770.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.2 / 26.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$751.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$769.89 / $765.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.36 (0.83%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.85%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$784.02 / $757.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$763.24 / $775.96Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.091Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.3 / 58.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.63xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.42, invalidation $770.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.2 / 26.2 / 31.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$751.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$769.89 / $765.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.091Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.3 / 58.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.36 (0.83%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.85%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$784.02 / $757.78Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$763.24 / $775.96Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.63xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

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