US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 dayBullish80%
Daily Upside probability 80%Bullish

SPY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $749.6 and reclaim $775.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $749.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.6, MACD 0.229

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $6.85 (0.89%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$767.01Bullish
EMA 21$765.83Bullish
EMA 50$761.85Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.6 · MACD 0.229

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $6.85 · BB 2.59%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV -158.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$749.6 - $775.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.63% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$782.15
Nearest resistance

+0.74% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$775.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$769.64
Nearest support

-2.6% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$749.6
Deeper support zone

-3.49% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$742.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$762.79 - $776.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $775.14, invalidation $758.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 29.0 / 27.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$750.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$764.19 / $754.24Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.85 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.59%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$778.86 / $752.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$762.79 / $776.49Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.229Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.5 / 71.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-158.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $775.14, invalidation $758.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 29.0 / 27.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$750.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$764.19 / $754.24Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.229Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.5 / 71.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.85 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.59%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$778.86 / $752.95Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$762.79 / $776.49Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-158.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$775.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

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