US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 dayBullish70%
Daily Upside probability 70%Bullish

SPY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $729.1 and reclaim $779.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $729.1 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 54.0, MACD -1.165

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.91 (0.64%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$767.5Bearish
EMA 21$763.68Bullish
EMA 50$753.62Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.0 · MACD -1.165

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.91 · BB 7.03%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 56.4 · OBV 23.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$729.1 - $779.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.42% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$784.28
Nearest resistance

+1.78% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$779.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$765.72
Nearest support

-4.78% · 7.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$729.1
Deeper support zone

-5.42% · 8.5 ATR below latest close

$724.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$760.81 - $770.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $762.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 20.1 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$750.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$762.47 / $747.98Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.91 (0.64%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.03%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$774.2 / $753.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$760.81 / $770.63Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$729.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.165Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.2 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $779.37, invalidation $762.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 20.1 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$750.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$762.47 / $747.98Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.165Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.2 / 30.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.91 (0.64%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.03%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$774.2 / $753.92Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$760.81 / $770.63Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$779.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$729.1Range

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