US stock / ETF

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY · NYSE Arca · USD

1 dayBearish85%
Daily Downside probability 85%Bearish

SPY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $768.93 and stabilize above resistance $781.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $781.62 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.5, MACD -1.379

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $7.28 (0.96%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$767.6Bearish
EMA 21$768.93Bearish
EMA 50$765.81Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD -1.379

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.28 · BB 3.00%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.9 · OBV -110.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$749.6 - $781.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.57% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$788.9
Nearest resistance

+2.62% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$781.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$761.7
Nearest support

-1.59% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$749.6
Deeper support zone

-2.54% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$742.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$754.42 - $768.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.64, invalidation $774.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 20.2 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$740.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$769.29 / $765.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.28 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.00%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$783.48 / $754.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$754.42 / $768.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.379Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.6 / 29.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $760.64, invalidation $774.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 20.2 / 34.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$740.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$769.29 / $765.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.379Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.6 / 29.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.28 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.00%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$783.48 / $754.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$754.42 / $768.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$781.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$749.6Range

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